767
FNUS53 KAPX 181810
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

...Shower and Thunder Chances Tonight into Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION... Showers will increase in coverage from west to
east through this evening, with periods of steady rain possible
through the overnight. Cloudy and wet conditions should carry into
Tuesday, and with some fresh rainfall coupled with cool
temperatures and lighter winds, anticipating fire danger remains
quite low through Tuesday despite a recent lack of widespread
appreciable rainfall. Looking ahead, warmer temperatures along
with dry conditions should prevail from midweek into the week`s
end... though cooler weather and additional rain chances may
return toward next weekend.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400, then numerous showers and
                    scattered thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63...except 65-70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer...except 7 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 17 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...42 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then isolated rain showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (214).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (498).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 2400Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200. Isolated thunderstorms.
                    Scattered rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (227).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.42 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-190815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms until 1200,
                    then isolated showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......38 percent wetter...except 33 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (208).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 65-70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (52).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (527).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-190815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2400. Scattered thunderstorms.
                    Numerous showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.64 in.
Chance of Thunder...47 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (224).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the north
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (595).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
210 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 2400, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (198).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (69).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (577).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD