Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
698
FNUS53 KAPX 180654
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
...Shower/storm threat ends quickly this morning...
.DISCUSSION...Passing cold front will end any lingering threat for
showers and storms quickly this morning. Rain-free weather for the
remainder of today through Sunday, with additional chances for
showers and storms returning later Monday into Tuesday. Relative
humidity values remain elevated today before a bit more aggressive
mixing out of moisture on Sunday...when some RH values across
interior areas may dip to near 40 percent. Moisture again increases
for Monday into Tuesday. Critical level northwest wind gusts
expected today, with light winds returning tonight and Sunday. Winds
become gusty out of the southwest on Monday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182215-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (575).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (455).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182215-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200. Patchy
smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 4 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke
until 2400, then areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (436).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-182215-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (540).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy smoke
until 2400, then smoke.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (410).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-182215-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (627).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy smoke
until 2400, then smoke.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (569).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182215-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
254 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200. Patchy
smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (762).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy smoke
until 2400, then smoke.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Smoke until 1200,
then areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (652).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSB