Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
907
FNUS53 KAPX 121903
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
...Less Moist Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...
Some low-end potential for another cluster of storms to pass through
Thursday morning, similar to this morning, though not a certainty; a
few showers/storms possible Thursday afternoon as well, but chances
are lower for Thursday compared to recent days. Flow thru lowest
5kft may become more NW tonight/Thursday though remaining light;
surface winds likely light and variable with land breezes (offshore
flow) tonight and lake breezes possible Thursday afternoon...though
increasing mid-level clouds are expected (mixing heights around 4-
6kft again, but could be as high as 5-9kft). Attm, RHs look drier
than today but not critical...perhaps 30-35 percent in most likely
downsloping areas.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (463).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (379).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-130830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (377).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (391).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-130830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400.
Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (378).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (388).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
303 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms until 2400. Patchy
fog.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (573).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (356).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
FEF