Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
909
FNUS53 KAPX 131906
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
...Falling relative humidity Monday/Rainy Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...High pressure builds into Lower Michigan tonight/Monday
morning...shifting east into the lower Great Lakes Monday evening.
Seasonable temperatures are expected Monday afternoon...but efficient
mixing expected to lower relative humidity values below 35 percent
across interior northern Lower. Winds expected to be under 10 mph
Monday afternoon. Widespread rain is expected to arrive after midnight
Tuesday...and will persist through much of the day. Wednesday is
expected to be dry.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-140830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (310).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (481).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-140830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler near
the coast.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
north in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (446).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-140830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (330).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (374).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-140830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45...except 47-52 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of fog
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (347).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the southwest
around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (342).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-140830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
306 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (285).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (420).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
JPB