038
FNUS53 KAPX 241925
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.DISCUSSION...Showery and cool weather is expected to start the
week, along with persistent west to northwest winds. Winds will
be gusty during the day the next few days due to good diurnal
mixing. The good diurnal mixing is also represented by relatively
high mixing heights. Temperatures will moderate for the second
half of the week, and rain chances will return after a midweek
break.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-250815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (66).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.34 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1071).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 18 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1055).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Isolated rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1133).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (983).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-250815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Numerous rain
                    showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (899).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (958).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-250815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (940).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (970).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200, then scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (991).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (970).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

PBB