441
FNUS53 KAPX 031954
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...Staying Dry with Light Winds and Warming Temperatures...

.DISCUSSION...Light westerly winds prevail through the rest of the
afternoon, with lake breeze processes directing a more easterly
flow through the Lake Huron bordering areas (including Huron
National Forest). Winds turn calm again tonight, and we basically
rinse and repeat into Monday... though with temperatures rising
farther into the 80s across the board. Light easterly flow is
expected Monday, with lake breezes turning flow westerly along the
Lake Michigan side this time (including parts of Manistee
National Forest). RHs once again will be dipping into the 30s,
especially across NW lower away from the Lake Michigan breeze. All
in all, fire danger remains low for the time being due to ample
green vegetation. That being said, a look at the forecast through
the rest of the week showcases warm temperatures (highs well into
the 80s, pushing 90 by the end of the week into the upcoming
weekend). Dry conditions will prevail through at least Thursday,
with some minor rain chances trying to nose in by the upcoming
weekend as a more humid airmass builds. We will have to see how
this affects vegetation across the area, and if winds can remain
calm enough to mitigate fire growth conditions.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-040815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Smoke and haze.
                    Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze and patchy
                    fog until 1200. Smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (343).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Smoke until
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (613).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-040815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Smoke and haze.
                    Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Smoke and haze.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Fair (299).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Haze and smoke
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (446).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-040815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Smoke. Haze and
                    patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 65-70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze and patchy
                    fog until 1200. Smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (300).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Smoke until
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (665).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-040815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Smoke and haze.
                    Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze and patchy
                    fog until 1200. Smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (394).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Smoke until
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (867).
Mixing Height.......8000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-040815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
354 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Smoke. Haze and
                    patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Haze and patchy
                    fog until 1200. Smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (360).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Smoke until
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (777).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD