Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
826
FNUS53 KAPX 190738
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
...Rain Continues This Morning...
.DISCUSSION...
Rain will continue to overspread northern Michigan from west to east
this morning, eventually departing the area to the east later this
afternoon. Widespread rainfall between 0.5" to 1.5" from most areas
will knock down fire danger across northern Michigan with no RH
concerns anticipated over the next several days. Southeast 20 ft
winds between 5-10 mph this morning will turn to north/northeast
winds of similar speeds later this afternoon and evening as this
system moves out of the area. Highs in the low to mid 70s are
expected for most today.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200, then slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (245).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 24 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (485).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (276).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.50 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 86-91 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (483).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-192015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........76-81 percent.
24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (252).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
northeast around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 65-70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (511).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-192015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 5 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (260).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the north
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (614).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
338 AM EDT Tue Aug 19 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........75-80 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (207).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.50 in.
Chance of Thunder...40 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (580).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
DJC