Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
041
FNUS53 KAPX 190837
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
...Lower humidity today and Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...Cooler and drier air is entering northern Michigan.
Quiet weather is expected today into Thursday. Winds will be
light from the northwest today, and the west Thursday. Humidity
values will lower into middle to upper 30s percent both today and
Thursday. Mixing heights will peak at 6000 to 8000 feet both
days.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-192200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (910).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near
the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northeast around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (610).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-192200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (751).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (512).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-192200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (638).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 64-69 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (511).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-192200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 21 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (592).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (627).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the west around
12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-192200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (713).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JZ