663
FNUS53 KAPX 191853
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

...Showers/storms thru this evening; Precipitation-free Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and storms will continue to work
across northern lower Michigan this afternoon into this evening
before rain chances diminish from west to east. An isolated strong
storm may contain briefly gusty winds and small hail, along with
locally heavy downpours. Winds will veer more northwesterly this
evening. Mostly sunny skies and seasonable temps return Sunday along
continued light winds out of the northwest.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (557).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (257).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (610).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-200815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (419).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-200815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms until 2400, then isolated
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.36 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (305).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
253 PM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    and scattered thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    isolated rain showers.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (623).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MJG