Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
067
FNUS53 KAPX 031917
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025


...Wetting Rains Tonight and Wednesday...

A cold front is currently approaching the state from the west and
brining moist air ahead of it to northern MI. Skies will continue
to fill with cloud cover this evening as scattered showers begin
to bubble up. Southwest winds of 10 to 20 with gusts up to 25 mph
will continue through the late evening hours. Widespread rain will
keep humidity values high tonight and Wednesday. The front will
slowly track across the state Wednesday. Winds turn northwest by
Wednesday afternoon and will diminish. Clouds and light rain
linger through Wednesday night.

.DISCUSSION...


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-040845-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (156).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.67 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then slight
                    chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (187).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (7).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (257).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-040845-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of rain after 2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (258).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (440).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (266).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-040845-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then rain and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (153).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.69 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then slight
                    chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (155).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (2).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (234).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-040845-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then rain and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (217).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.65 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then chance
                    of rain.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 21 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (217).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (4).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (349).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-040845-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of rain after 2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (278).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (491).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (8).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (399).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD