Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
869
FNUS53 KAPX 180611
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
...Limited fire weather concerns continue...
.DISCUSSION...Latest trends now support the vast majority of rain
passing into central and southern lower Michigan tonight through
this weekend. Will still need to watch for some areas of light rain
at times, especially for areas down near M-55. Relative humidity
through this weekend will continue to run well above critical
levels, although afternoon values will still drop into the 50s.
Northeast winds today veer to southeast on Saturday, becoming
northeast once again for Sunday. A few gusts to near critical levels
are possible...especially by Sunday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182245-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (251).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except around 51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 15 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (397).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182245-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (324).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 10 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-182245-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (265).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-182245-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (294).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 95-100 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (298).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182245-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Fri Sep 18 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (307).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (330).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSB