648
FNUS53 KAPX 061937
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

...Increasing rain chances through tonight...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front continues to pass northwest to southeast
across northern Michigan this afternoon. More numerous showers and a
few embedded thunderstorms expected to become the rule post-frontal
passage. Most widespread shower activity expected this evening
through tonight.

Northwesterly winds in the wake of the frontal passage
while diminishing through this evening/overnight. Northwest winds
continue to prevail Tuesday with notably cooler, but more seasonable,
temperatures. RHs expected to fall in the 40-50% range Tuesday.
Wednesday/Thursday afternoon RHs back into the low-mid 30% range for
the typically drier interior spots.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-070815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    2400, then chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees cooler...except 14 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1094).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (495).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-070815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (95).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.42 in.
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (954).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (61).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (631).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-070815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 13 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (962).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph increasing to around 18
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (488).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-070815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then rain showers likely.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (859).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 40-45 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (510).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-070815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
337 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Rain showers.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.48 in.
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (886).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (575).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG