Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
804
FNUS53 KAPX 310726
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
...Increasing shower/storm chances...
.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will pass to our south today though the
upcoming weekend. Isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm
chances increase this afternoon, becoming more numerous this evening
through Saturday night. Precipication-free conditions are expected
to return on Sunday. High temperatures in the 80s today cool to the
70s for Saturday-Sunday. No RH or wind concerns today through the
weekend. Mixing heights generally 3-6 kft today lower to less than
1.5 kft Saturday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-312015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 71-76 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (339).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms until 2400, then showers likely
and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.35 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........79-84 percent.
24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (104).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-312015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (391).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (123).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-312015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (353).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then
showers likely.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northeast around 12 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 7 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter...except 32 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (147).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.41 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-312015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 74-79 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (410).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........87-92 percent.
24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 35 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (157).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-312015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
326 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (490).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then
showers likely.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (154).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.52 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG