Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
397
FNUS53 KAPX 081908
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
...Breezy this afternoon; Rain chances arrive Sat. night-Sunday...
.DISCUSSION...Lingering northwest breeziness this afternoon gives
way to calm winds overnight as high pressure centers squarely
overhead. Increasing clouds late in the day Saturday in advance of
low pressure set to cross northern MI Saturday night - Sunday.
Increasing shower chances accompany this system to wrap up the
weekend, perhaps lingering into the day Monday. No RH concerns
foreseen through at least the next several days.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090915-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except 34-39 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (308).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then rain showers.
Max Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.12 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090915-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except 37-42 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55...except 43-48 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (322).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41...except 44-49 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (263).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.14 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-090915-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except around 41 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (287).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 46-51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (261).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.13 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-090915-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30...except 32-37 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then partly
sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (275).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 33 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........Around 0.08 in .
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090915-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
208 PM EST Fri Nov 8 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (301).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........74-79 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (222).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG