809
FNUS53 KAPX 141844
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...Drier but Slightly Cooler Ahead...

.DISCUSSION...
Low chance for a shower/storm tonight esp north; otherwise, best
chance for showers/storms will hold off till Friday into the
weekend. Slight downward trend in temps the next few days as we
start to tap more of a Canadian airmass...max highs Wed into the
low/mid 90s tapering to upper 80s to near 90 for rest of the week.
Mugginess drops off as well, with more comfortable dewpoints in the
50s to lower 60s...resulting in afternoon RHs dropping into the 20-
30 percent range again (lowest where downsloping is most aggressive,
likely near Saginaw Bay and Wellston). Smoke from Canadian
wildfires will continue to drift in tonight/Wed/Thurs and could
limit afternoon high temps. Winds turn light/variable tonight (land
breezes) and remain light/NW to N Wed and Thurs (lake breezes
possible).

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-150815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy smoke
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 37-42 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (419).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (455).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-150815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....90-95...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 8 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (488).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (641).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-150815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent...except 39-44 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (370).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....61-66...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Smoke until 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (407).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-150815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy smoke
                    until 1200, then smoke.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (533).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........72-77 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Smoke until 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (549).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-150815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
244 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Smoke.
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Smoke.
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Smoke until 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (842).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

FEF