Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
590
FNUS53 KAPX 031834
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
...Hot temperatures and moisture return...
.DISCUSSION...
The weather will likely remain precip free through late Saturday,
however a more moist airmass will creep in tonight into Friday.
Temperatures will become hot in the afternoon with min humidities
from 30 to 40 percent. Winds turn south and will become breezy in
the afternoon hours on Friday. Chances for showers and storms late
Saturday into Sunday morning.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-040815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 73-78 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (507).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (112).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 77-82 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1281).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-040815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (345).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 77-82 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1230).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-040815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......23 percent drier...except 32 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (634).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer...except 11 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (119).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 71-76 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1270).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-040815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 35 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (753).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (96).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 82-87 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1402).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-040815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
234 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the
southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....83-88.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1594).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ELD