257
FNUS53 KAPX 211009
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...Rain-Free Weather Continues...

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny skies are expected across the area again today as rain-
free weather persists through Friday. Rain chances return late
Friday and will persist at times into early next week. Light north
winds will allow lake breeze formation to penetrate inland from the
lakeshores this afternoon. Minimum RHs between 40-50 percent will
remain well above critical thresholds through the end of the week.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-212015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (196).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (646).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (283).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (619).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (215).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (526).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-212015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (331).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (525).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
609 AM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (411).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (689).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC