435
FNUS53 KAPX 150638
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...Dry Today and Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...Clouds will decrease this morning, yielding sunny
skies as high pressure moves overhead. Highs top out in the mid
50s to lower 60s. With high pressure overhead, winds will be
rather light (North ~5mph)... but this will also supply quite the
dry airmass. RHs will dip well into the 30s across the interior
this afternoon. Rainfall through the rest of tonight into this
morning will be quite light, so anticipating vegetation to remain
on the dry side, especially into Thursday. Much of the same with
high pressure overhead... sunny, highs upper 50s to mid 60s... and
RHs making a run into the lower 30s. As such, fire danger remains
low from parameters, but with how dry this fall has been,
certainly remains non-zero. We do start to see rain chances really
move into the picture Thursday night, with chances for rounds of
rain / showers carrying through the weekend and into next week as
the pattern turns much more active across northern Michigan.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-152015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (283).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (98).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-152015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (324).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-152015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (259).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....31-36...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (108).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-152015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (294).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (140).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    3 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-152015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
238 AM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (343).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (114).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

HAD