642
FNUS53 KAPX 081922
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

...Dry and Breezy Sunday with Storm Chances...

.DISCUSSION...

Drier air will hang around for Saturday afternoon. Humidities will
likely dip into the high 30s and low 40s over much of northern
lower, with some of the driest locations seeing mid 30s. There is
a low chance that humidities could be 5 to 10 percent higher in
some areas (depending on how storms play out tonight and early
Saturday). Winds remain south and will be breezy in the afternoon
hours with gusts up to 15 to 20 mph. Storms will likely move
towards MI from the west Saturday afternoon and evening,
contributing to a quicker recovery in RHs. Winds could be gusty
and erratic near thunderstorm outflows. Wetting rains will be
spotty in coverage, with better chances for widespread wetting
rains Sun-Mon.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....92-97...except 81-86 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (932).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (842).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....91-96...except 79-84 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (912).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1133).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-090830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 1 degree cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1017).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.33 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (752).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-090830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 82-87 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1151).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent...except 63-68 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (959).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
322 PM EDT Fri Aug 8 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1176).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1292).
Mixing Height.......6100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD