841
FNUS53 KAPX 020611
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

...Remaining dry well into next week...

.DISCUSSION... High pressure looks to remain in control for the
next several days, extending the stretch of rain-free weather well
into next week. Temperatures will slowly trend upward, with highs in
the upper 70s and lower 80s today reaching widespread readings in
the lower to middle 80s Sunday and Monday. Low level moisture
remains limited, supporting aggressive late morning and afternoon
drying the next several days...dropping relative humidity values to
sub 40 percent across most interior areas. Despite this, maintenance
of light winds should preclude much fire weather concerns.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-022300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Excellent (612).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200, then patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (575).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-022300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200, then patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (494).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-022300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (489).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200, then patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (306).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-022300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (552).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the north around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200, then patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-022300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
211 AM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (693).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 1200, then patchy smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (324).
Mixing Height.......7600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY SMOKE IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB