849
FNUS53 KAPX 091020
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

...Lake effect snow today...

.DISCUSSION...

Lake effect snow showers will continue across parts of northwest
lower and eastern upper into this evening with several inches of
accumulation possible across portions near the Lake Michigan and
Huron lakeshores. Mainly north 20 ft winds between 5-10 mph are in
store today with gusts to 20-25 mph at times later this afternoon
into this evening. Cool temperatures remain in place with highs in
the 30s for most. No RH concerns are anticipated over the next
several days.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-092115-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (539).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....20-25.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (77).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (536).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-092115-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 1200, then numerous snow showers.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.47 in.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....18-23...except 25-30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (183).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (987).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-092115-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (711).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph increasing to north
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.37 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 2400, then isolated snow showers.
Min Temperature.....16-21...except 29-34 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (94).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous snow
                    showers until 1200, then snow showers.
Max Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (434).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-092115-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (657).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph increasing to around 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....15-20...except 22-27 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (98).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers until 1200, then snow showers.
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (420).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.56 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-092115-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
520 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Isolated snow showers
                    until 1200, then scattered snow showers.
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (507).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.16 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated snow
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....16-21.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....32-37.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (809).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY, CHANCE OF LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS, SNOW SHOWERS AND
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC