Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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997
FNUS53 KAPX 210613
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...Breezy with a few showers today...

.DISCUSSION...West-northwest winds will become gusty at times today
behind a passing cold front. Gusts as high as 25-35 mph likely at times.
A few isolated hit-and-miss showers are likely to redevelop as well, with
lightning and a locally heavy downpour the main threats. Cooler temperatures
prevail for Wednesday with high temperatures in the upper 60s to mid-70s for
much of northern lower. RHs expected to remain above critical thresholds for
the next couple of days.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-212015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (701).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (116).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1190).
Mixing Height.......6900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (685).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (197).
Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1218).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (623).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler...except 9 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 17 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (99).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 19 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1010).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-212015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (598).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (111).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1034).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
213 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (176).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1151).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG