199
FNUS53 KAPX 121833
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...Drier and Quieter Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
Remaining humid/muggy into tonight with a slight chance for
additional showers or thunderstorms this evening as a second cold
front swings through. Drying out some on Sunday...with afternoon RHs
dropping into the 35-45 percent range across the interior; driest
areas should be between Lake Huron and the higher terrain where
downsloping should be favored on generally westerly flow 5-10mph
gusting as high as 15-20mph...though there could be a southerly wind
component off Saginaw Bay in the afternoon. Highs recover into the
upper 70s to lower 80s Sunday but could end up a touch cooler due to
Canadian smoke aloft, which could reduce RHs and limit mixing
heights more than expected.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Haze after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (675).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze and areas of smoke
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (782).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (52).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...45 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke after 1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (653).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke.
Min Temperature.....58-63...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Haze until 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-130815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....59-64...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (592).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke.
Min Temperature.....60-65...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze and areas of smoke
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (708).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-130815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Haze and areas of
                    smoke after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (623).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 2400. Haze.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze and areas of smoke
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (726).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
233 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (788).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Haze until 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (826).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF