Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
851
FNUS53 KAPX 141845
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
...Chances of Precipitation Build this Weekend...
.DISCUSSION...Conditions remain quiet this evening as continued
surface high pressure across the Great Lakes Region keeps
precipitation to our south. Mostly sunny skies and afternoon RH
values in the 40s and 50s are expected this Saturday before a weak
frontal boundary sweeps across the Midwest Saturday night through
Sunday morning. Latest guidance depicts most rainfall remaining
to our north. Best chances of precipitation remains across the
Saginaw Bay/Huron National Forest Region with a quarter inch or
less of QPF expected at this time.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-150815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (489).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (421).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-150815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except 63-68 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
coast.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (385).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 68-73 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (371).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-150815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 66-71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 16 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 71-76 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 6 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (449).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (390).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-150815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 17 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (461).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (405).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the northwest
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-150815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
245 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (424).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
showers.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (458).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the
northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.40 in.
Chance of Thunder...21 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
SJC