615
FNUS53 KAPX 091837
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

...Scattered storms and heat continue...

.DISCUSSION...

Hot temperatures will continue into Sunday for NE lower, with
clouds and slightly cooler temperatures over NW lower. Min
humidities will dip into the 40s over NE lower, but will remain in
the 50s for NW lower. Chances for scattered showers and storms
over most of northern lower, with higher chances towards the
western half of the state. Winds generally south and around 10 to
15 mph in the afternoon hours with gusts up to 20 to 25 mph.
Shower and storm chances increase for Monday over most of the
area, with most storms producing wetting rains. Winds will be
gusty and erratic near thunderstorms.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-100830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    until 1200, then scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 74-79 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in .
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (594).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...39 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-100830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (971).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...44 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-100830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered showers.
                    Isolated thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 10 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (802).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (463).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...37 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-100830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Scattered showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (45).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in .
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers.
                    Isolated thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (954).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 95-100 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (526).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-100830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
237 PM EDT Sat Aug 9 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1293).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....84-89.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (732).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...45 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD