832
FNUS53 KAPX 050945
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...Hot and humid today then increasing shower and storm chances
tonight into Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front crosses northern Michigan on Sunday.
Today will be hot, muggy, and breezy, with southwest winds seeing
frequent gusts around 25 mph and a few gusts around 30 mph. Mixing
heights today will range mainly from 5000 to 7000 feet. An
isolated shower is possible in northeast lower Michigan today.
Shower and thunderstorm chances are much higher tonight into
Sunday. Winds will veer northerly late Sunday behind the front.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-052200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....91-96...except 79-84 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1378).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (251).
Mixing Height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200, then chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-052200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....91-96...except 80-85 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1129).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (128).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 20 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (477).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.28 in.
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-052200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....91-96...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1455).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (268).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200, then chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......21 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (259).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.11 in.
Chance of Thunder...11 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-052200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except 82-87 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1604).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2400. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (274).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
                    until 1200, then chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 26 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.17 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-052200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
545 AM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1823).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (124).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (412).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ