Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 290858
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

...Isolated storms today, better chance tonight and Monday...

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated storms will be possible today, along with southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph on average, gusts up to 20 mph. Lake breeze development likely
across northeast lower. Mixing heights increase to 4.5 to 5.5 kft
this afternoon, near average for a late June summers afternoon.
Shower and storm potential ramps up tonight, but especially on
Monday. A moist airmass in place suggests the potential for areas
of heavy rain on Monday. Drier conditions expected mid week, with
a drop in minimum humidity; 30s possible across the interior.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-292030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer...except 6 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 6 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers
                    likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (262).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...46 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph with
                    occasional gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (428).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
                    thunderstorms and chance of showers.
Min Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 5 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (371).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.21- 0.96 in.
Chance of Thunder...55 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-292030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (546).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.19 in.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (194).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.45 in.
Chance of Thunder...48 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-292030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 51-56 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (588).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (271).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.39 in.
Chance of Thunder...55 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
458 AM EDT Sun Jun 29 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (651).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers likely.
                    Thunderstorms likely after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (449).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.70 in.
Chance of Thunder...60 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$

JLD