939
FNUS74 KAMA 121940
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast for LOBO...TFS
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
240 PM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on August 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (806) 335-1421, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Very hot temperatures continue in the spot location and adjacent
areas. Strong, southerly winds and low RH values have created
elevated fire weather conditions for the spot area and these fire
weather conditions are expected to prevail for the next several
hours. Surface winds are expected to stay breezy to strong (15-25
mph) even overnight; however, the wind direction will largely
remain the same for the rest of the day, perhaps only shifting SSE
later this evening. Instability is present for pyrocumulus
development. There is still a bit of a temperature inversion aloft
that the smoke plumes will have to overcome. Yet, if the fire
temperature becomes even hotter (+80 degrees Celsius) pyrocumulus
development chances increase. Though surface temperatures will
not cool down drastically tonight, RH recovery is expected to be
fair with possible maximum RH values reaching over 50% tomorrow
morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 106.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 17 mph.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (166900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
Temp............104    106
RH..............23     21
20 ft wind......S 17   S 17
20 ft wind gust.23     25
Mix hgt (kft)...9.8    10
Transport wind..S 20   S 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..167    176
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   EXNT

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 14 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (170200 knot-ft) decreasing to good
                    (33400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing
                    to poor (8900 knot-ft) late in the night early
                    in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............104    102    92     89     87     83
RH..............21     25     33     38     42     47
20 ft wind......S 17   S 16   S 15   S 15   S 14   S 15
20 ft wind gust.25     23     23     23     23     23
Mix hgt (kft)...10     1.9    0.5    0.5    0.5    0.5
Transport wind..S 21   S 21   S 22   S 23   S 23   S 22
Vrate kt-ft/1K..187    33     10     10     10     9
Ventrate Cat....EXNT   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 105.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14 to 18 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL increasing to 12500 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (65800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (194500
                    knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     20
Temp............80     80     90     98     103    104
RH..............48     49     37     28     23     22
20 ft wind......S 15   S 15   SW 17  SW 16  SW 16  S 18
20 ft wind gust.23     23     23     23     25     25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5    0.9    2.5    6.3    13     12
Transport wind..SW 21  SW 20  SW 23  SW 23  SW 23  S 23
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9      15     50     127    250    237
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   VYGD   EXNT   EXNT

$$
Forecaster...Rangel
Requested by...EARHART
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619548.0/AMA
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0