734
FXUS64 KAMA 111144
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
644 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Elevated fire weather is possible Wednesday and Thursday in the
Texas Panhandle.

Very strong winds and critical fire weather conditions are
expected to be met on Friday areawide. A low to medium chance for
some rain with this system also exists in the northwest.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 319 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Warm, dry, and benign weather continues to be the main highlights
of the short term period. Heights aloft stay generally unchanged
until the California low degrades and transitions over the
central CONUS. Highs today and tomorrow should remain in the 70`s
and upper 60`s. Surface wind speeds are already coming in faster
this morning due to the low level jet mixing down +40 kt winds
across much of the combined Panhandles. This may promote warmer
low temperatures during the early morning timeframe and some
elevated fire weather concerns during the afternoon. Though these
fire weather concerns are mainly on Wednesday, and will be
confined to the southern Texas Panhandle. Minimum RH values will
range between 10-20% today and Wednesday. However, with the
progression of a surface low into our CWA from the north, winds
will flip northerly and decrease in speed this afternoon.
Tomorrow, stronger winds should be present and allow for increased
RFTI values across the southern half of the region. A frontal
boundary will move into the CWA tomorrow afternoon and will turn
winds northerly once again, but the timing of the front may not
line up with peak heating and the strongest wind speeds for areas
near the I-40 corridor and southward.

55

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 405 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Elevated fire weather conditions may exist on Thursday in the
western stack of counties in our CWA. By Friday, high winds and
critical fire weather conditions have a high chance of occurring.
Products are likely down the line. Some precipitation may occur
as the cold front moves through and temperatures will decrease.
Quiet weather is expected through the rest of the extended.

55

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Not many changes were made to the new 12Z TAFs. VFR conditions
prevail for the next 24 hours. Breezy, northwesterly winds are
anticipated this afternoon at AMA. They will decrease later this
evening, but potentially see another ramp up overnight. Mostly
light winds are expected at the other two sites.

55

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                75  41  73  39 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  74  38  74  36 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              71  37  69  33 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  77  41  77  40 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              76  38  75  36 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  76  40  74  39 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               78  45  76  42 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 72  33  71  31 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  73  36  73  35 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                77  38  73  38 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                75  42  75  40 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   75  42  74  41 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                79  45  77  41 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              79  44  77  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55