343
FXUS64 KAMA 230424
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1024 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 122 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

Calm weather and generally above average temperatures are forecast
for the next seven days.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 122 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

As an upper trough passes south of our region, southerly flow is
left in it`s wake. Warm air advection continues for the next
couple of days and high pressure prevails at the surface.
Generally warm and benign weather is to be expected in the short
term. Highs today should reach the upper 50`s and lower 60`s
across the combined Panhandles. Tomorrow, 60 degree highs should
overspread more across the CWA. Winds at the surface will be
light both today and tomorrow, and will back from south to north
Saturday into Sunday. Sky conditions will continue as clear today,
but then become mostly sunny by tomorrow afternoon.

Rangel

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 122 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

The main axis of the jet stream trough is positioned in the
northern CONUS for the start of the extended, but the trough will
slowly trek southward and enter our CWA by Wednesday. Afterwards,
long range models suggest the upper ridge builds back into the
area before our next system approaches.

The rest of this week is forecast to experience above average
temperatures and dry conditions. 70 degree temperatures are still
anticipated areawide on Monday and Tuesday. New 12Z model runs
today show a faster frontal progression into the region by Tuesday
afternoon, but the main wave of the cold air mass still may not
settle in until Wednesday. In either scenario, temperatures are
only expected to drop by about 10 degrees and return to average
values for the day. For the remainder of the long term period,
after the cold front has moved through, temperatures should rise
back into the 60`s once again.

Rangel

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1022 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2025

VFR conditions are forecast at all sites for the next 24 hrs.
Winds will be around 10 kts out of the west-southwest tonight,
until a weak front comes in tomorrow morning. Winds will become
more light and variable towards the end of the period.

Harrel

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                62  25  65  32 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  66  22  66  30 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              63  24  65  31 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  65  25  69  32 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              67  23  66  28 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  63  24  65  32 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               62  25  67  33 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 63  21  63  27 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  66  22  66  30 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                61  24  66  31 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                64  25  67  33 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   64  26  66  35 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                64  24  65  32 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              66  24  64  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...38