799
FXUS64 KAMA 310853
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
253 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 123 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

- Drier and warmer conditions will settle in Today onwards, which
  could lead to temperatures in the mid to low 70s as early as
  Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 251 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

As of early this morning, latest radar was seeing weak return
echos slowly moving into the Oklahoma Panhandles from Kansas.
While impacts from this are expected to be mostly cloud cover,
there is still potential to see occasional sprinkles/flurries in
the Northwest Panhandles. Once these echos exit to our east later
this morning, expect drier and warmer weather to fill as model
agreement sees a upper-level ridge build in for the weekend. Look
for temperatures to rise in correlation to the dry conditions with
afternoon temperatures today rising into the low 60s today with
Saturday seeing highs in the 60s to low 70s.

Scoleri

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 251 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025

With the full exit of the closed upper-level low and its wrap
around moisture Thursday, model agreements looks to place the
Panhandles under a weak ridge and zonal flow for the end of the
weekend. This upper-level pattern will invite drier and much
warmer weather for Sunday with afternoon highs potentially
reaching into the low 70s Sunday afternoon. As we move into next
week, this pattern will look to hold thanks to a building upper-
level high sitting over the Gulf of California. With this dry
pattern in place, look for temperatures to stay above normal with
many location potentially holding in the 60s to low 70s clear into
the middle of next week. However, a slight cool down back towards
the 50 and low 60s may follow with some models seeing potential
for a weak trough to brush the Northern Panhandles sometime
Thursday into Friday.

Scoleri

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1032 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period at all
TAF sites. Winds will start WNW and become more SW at 5-15 kts.

Meccariello

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                62  35  68  41 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  62  30  69  33 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              60  30  67  33 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  64  35  71  39 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              63  31  69  38 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  61  33  67  41 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               63  33  71  42 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 62  26  65  33 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  62  29  68  32 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                62  32  68  41 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                61  33  69  37 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   62  35  70  40 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                65  33  73  41 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              66  32  74  41 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...29