522
FXUS64 KAMA 060531
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1231 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

- Showers are likely in the northern combined panhandles on
  Wednesday.

- Sub-freezing temperatures are expected on Thursday morning in
  the northwestern CWA, reaching as low as the mid-20`s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Light rainfall could linger in the Oklahoma Panhandle tonight,
however, rain will likely move out or become isolated by the early
morning hours of Wednesday. Although isolated showers may be
possible throughout the day on Wednesday (especially in the OK
Panhandle and northern TX Panhandle), the primary chances for
precipitation will begin around the late afternoon. Highest chances
for rainfall are in the OK and northern TX Panhandles, with light
precipitation expected. Precipitation accumulations greater than
0.2" will likely be constrained to the far north CWA. In the far NW
CWA some mixed precipitation is possible, however this depends on if
temperature falls and precipitation timing line up into the
nighttime hours of Wednesday into Thursday.

Low temperatures are expected to approach freezing in the northern
CWA Wednesday morning, likely surpassing freezing into the high 20`s
on Thursday morning. High confidence in sub-freezing temperatures
for Cimarron and Dallam counties have prompted a Freeze Warning to
be issued for Thursday morning. Uncertainties regarding how
precipitation and cloud coverage has prompted the Freeze Watch to
remain in place for the rest of the area. High temperatures for
Wednesday will range from mid-40`s in the far Northern CWA to the
low-70`s in the far southern CWA, warming back up on Thursday with
widespread high temperatures in the high-60`s to low-70`s.

Ferguson

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026

Friday and Saturday are expected to warm back up, with high
temperatures reaching back into the 90`s for most of the CWA by
Saturday. This is before a cold front passes through the area on
Sunday, knocking high temperatures back down into the 70`s and 80`s.
After Sunday however, temperatures will likely rebound quickly and
create seasonally warm conditions through the beginning of the week
before low pressure builds into the Panhandles on Tuesday, shifting
winds from SW to N and knocking temperatures down again.

Ferguson

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026

As of late tonight, latest radar has been seeing showers push into
the Panhandles form the north and west. However, these storms
have struggled to produce much given the very strong dry air
present in the lower-levels. Because of this confidence in actual
impacts to the terminals is on the lower end with KGUY the only
terminal with full showers mention in the current package.
Regardless latest CAMS do see us getting a little break during the
overnight and early morning hours of Wednesday. However, this
break is expected to come with a drop in CIGs to MVFR for KAMA and
IFR levels for KDHT and KGUY. These CIGs do look to hold for most
of Wednesday, albeit with KAMA possibly getting a slight break
during the early afternoon hours.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ001.

     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for
     TXZ002>004-006.

OK...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for OKZ001.

     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for
     OKZ002-003.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....23
AVIATION...11