434
FXUS64 KAMA 071934
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
234 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

- Dry conditions and above average temperatures are forecast each
  day through this upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM ...
(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Quiet weather continues through tomorrow across the Panhandles
tonight through tomorrow. Clear skies along with light southerly
winds will lead to overnight lows in the 30s and a few areas may
drop down to near freezing tonight. Tomorrow will be fairly
similar to today, other than winds will be out of the south to
southwest which will usher in warmer air in the lower levels.
High temperatures tomorrow should be above average in the 70s to
near 80 for the Panhandles given the above scenario. Winds should
stay around 10 to 15 mph on Tuesday night which will aid in
keeping overnight lows well above freezing going into Wednesday
morning.

Muscha

&&

.LONG TERM ...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Broad ridging across the west will influence the pattern across
the Panhandles through much of the long term forecast period.
Upper level troughing will dig southward across the Midwest on
Wednesday into Thursday which will bring northwest flow over the
CWA. Northerly winds are likely on both days which will keep
temperatures mainly in the 70s but some areas across the south may
still hit 80 on Wednesday afternoon. After a subtle cooldown on
Thursday, the central axis of the upper level ridge will begin
moving east and should be over the High Plains this upcoming
weekend. This will lead to increasing temperatures, especially
this weekend where highs in the 80s to 90s are expected. Sunday
has the potential to be exceptionally warm given H850 temperatures
rising to 25 C or greater. The latest 07/13z NBM gives the entire
area at least a 75 percent chance for reaching or exceeding 90
degrees on Sunday, which would tie or break record highs for April
13. With high pressure aloft having influence over the forecast
area, dry conditions are forecast each day through at least
Sunday.

Muscha

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025

VFR conditions should persist over the next 24 hours. Light winds
around 10 kts or less are forecast during this TAF cycle. Winds
will initially be out of the north but will become southerly
towards the later half of the TAF issuance.

Muscha

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                39  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  35  80  44  81 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              34  77  45  77 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  40  81  48  83 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              37  79  45  82 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  38  78  47  81 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               40  78  50  82 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 32  78  43  79 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  33  79  44  80 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                36  78  45  81 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                37  78  45  82 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   40  79  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                38  78  45  83 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              38  78  45  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05