633
FNUS71 KALY 030927
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for APB P2 NORTH RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
527 AM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on October 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Warming trend ensues today with increasing confidence for above
normal temperatures through early next week. While we remain dry
through at least Monday, confidence is also increasing for our
next widespread rain event next Tuesday into Wednesday before we
turn cooler for the end of next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Dewpoint............39 increasing to 49.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (27300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  41  31  27  17  15  16  6   5   3   3   14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............40  40  41  47  56  61  65  69  71  71  73  71
Dewpoint........39  38  40  43  44  47  48  49  50  50  50  51
RH..............96  92  96  86  64  60  54  49  47  47  44  49
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   9   9
LVORI...........9   8   9   6   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   4   7   9   13  21  24  24  27  18
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............51.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 5 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  11  8   10  5   3   3   6   8   9   14  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  67  61  59  57  56  54  52  51  50  49  49
Dewpoint........51  50  51  53  52  52  51  50  50  50  49  49
RH..............51  54  70  80  83  86  90  93  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   2   4   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Dewpoint............46 increasing to 56.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (20300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  31  35  22  15  7   9   11  13  12  12  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  48  50  54  60  66  71  75  77  79  79  78
Dewpoint........48  45  46  48  51  53  54  55  55  55  56  56
RH..............100 89  86  80  72  63  55  50  47  44  45  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.2
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........10  7   6   6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   1   1   3   5   7   11  17  20  19  15  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...Speciale
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522929.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org