Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
487
FNUS71 KALY 021005
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB Field Rx...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
605 AM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
A low risk of fire spread will remain in place across the
Leatherstocking Fire Zone, including parts of the Mohawk Valley
into Schoharie County through Wednesday afternoon. This is
thanks to a dry air mass in place, with dewpoints in the teens
to low 20s (RHs ranging from around 25-35%) and gusty winds. The
risk will subside late today with increasing clouds and
moisture building into the region ahead of a warm front. After
collaboration with neighboring offices and state officials,
agreed that an SPS for the Leatherstocking Fire Zone is not
needed at this time as confidence in risk of fire spread is low.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Dewpoint............9 increasing to 19.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
around 5 mph late in the morning, then becoming
light early in the afternoon becoming southeast
5 to 7 mph early in the afternoon shifting to
the south 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 13 mph shifting to the south 9
to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (63000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66 57 49 55 61 68 70 72 74 79 84
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
Temp............29 31 32 36 39 41 44 46 47 48 48
Dewpoint........10 9 8 7 7 8 9 11 14 16 19
RH..............44 39 36 29 26 25 23 24 26 27 31
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE E E E SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 6 5 3 5 7 8 9 10
20 FT wind gust.12 10 9 9 9 9 10 13 15 16 18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.2 3.9
Transp wind dir.N N NE E E E SE S S S S
Transp wind spd.13 13 10 8 7 8 9 12 14 16 18
LVORI...........2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 21 20 19 19 24 31 39 51 61 63
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely through the
night. Slight chance of thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............24 increasing to 38.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (64300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (16300 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........89 90 91 92 92 91 91 91 92 92 91 90
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
Tstm cov........ SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 40 50 70 60 50 40 50 50 50 60
Temp............47 45 42 39 38 37 37 37 38 39 40 41
Dewpoint........22 24 26 28 29 30 31 33 34 35 37 38
RH..............37 43 53 64 70 75 79 85 85 85 89 89
20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..12 12 13 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 15 15
20 FT wind gust.21 22 23 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.6 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.20 22 23 25 28 29 29 26 25 25 24 24
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..48 28 16 29 50 64 58 43 29 23 21 20
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR FR GD FR FR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
morning, then rain showers early in the
morning. Chance of rain showers late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Dewpoint............41 increasing to 57.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 14 to 15 mph with gusts to around
26 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18400 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
Pcpn amount.........0.08 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........89 91 94 97 94 92 90 89 88 82 77 71
Weather cov.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60 70 80 80 80 80 80 80 30 30 30 30
Temp............42 43 45 47 50 53 57 61 65 68 69 70
Dewpoint........39 40 41 43 45 47 50 52 54 56 57 58
RH..............89 89 86 86 83 80 77 72 68 65 66 66
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..14 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 14
20 FT wind gust.24 24 23 23 23 24 25 26 26 25 24 23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.23 23 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 20 18 17
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..19 18 19 20 22 23 24 25 24 23 21 19
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Gant/JPV
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508669.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org