676
FNUS71 KALY 211128
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Butternut Fire...Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency
National Weather Service Albany NY
628 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain is overspreading the region and should become steady in the
Great Barrington area by 7-8 am this morning. From that point
onwards, steady rain continues through the day and into tonight.
Rainfall amounts during the day today are expected to total
between 0.5 and 1 inch, with around an additional 0.25 to 0.5
inches of rain overnight tonight. East/Northeast winds will become
gusty at 15-20 mph by mid to late morning through the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 15 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.61 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 100 90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............43  43  43  43  43  43  43  43  43  42  42
Dewpoint........41  41  41  41  41  41  41  40  40  40  40
RH..............93  93  93  93  93  93  93  89  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  16  17  17  17  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  15  15  14  14  13  13  13  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain in the evening,
                    then rain likely and chance of snow overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Dewpoint............38 decreasing to 33 after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    south around 9 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph shifting to the south 17 to
                    18 mph overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.35 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 97  96  96  95  95  95  95  92  90  87  87
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RS  SN  RS
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).90  80  80  80  80  70  70  60  50  50  40  40
Temp............41  40  41  40  40  40  40  40  38  36  34  33
Dewpoint........40  39  38  39  39  39  39  38  36  35  33  32
RH..............96  96  89  96  96  96  95  92  94  94  96  97
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  21  21  21  21  20  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  17  18  20  20  20  18  18  17  17

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and snow showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east
                    6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 22 mph shifting to the east 14 to
                    21 mph late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  88  86  83  81  81  82  82  82  83  83  82
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  SW  SW  SW  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  40  40  30  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
Temp............33  33  34  35  36  38  39  40  40  40  39  39
Dewpoint........32  32  32  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  34
RH..............96  96  93  91  89  82  79  76  75  75  79  81
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  17  17  17  16  15  13  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.1 1.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  20  20  20  20  21  22  22  21  18  16  14

$$
Forecaster...Main
Requested by...Nathan Moreau
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427070.1/ALY
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.moreau@mass.gov