Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 041132
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Steep Rock Fire...CTDEEP
National Weather Service Albany NY
732 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on September 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Today, southerly winds increase to 10-15 mph with gusts of 20-30
mph this afternoon. RH values are expected to drop as low as 35-45%.

RH values will begin to rise this evening as a line of showers
bring a widespread wetting rain to the region. Friday remains
breezy with some wind gusts of 20 to possibly 30 mph, but minimum
RH values will be higher, generally above 50-55%. Another widespread
round of showers and storms Saturday should further reduce
fire weather concerns for the second half of the weekend into early
next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 23 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to around 18 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  22  13  8   14  16  16  17  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  67  71  74  75  76  76  75  74
RH..............81  68  59  53  50  48  48  50  51
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   8   9   10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.9   12  14  16  17  20  21  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.8 3.2 4.4 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.3 3.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   10  13  15  16  17  18  18  18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    through the night.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph decreasing to around 9 mph
                    after 3 am.
Pcpn amount.........0.10 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  40  38  56  65  73  84  91  89  87  87  87
Weather cov.....                CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  30  60  60  60  50  50  40  20
Temp............73  70  66  65  64  63  63  63  63  62  62  62
RH..............55  61  73  81  87  93  97  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.22  20  17  16  16  16  16  15  15  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  15  16  15  15  12  12  12  12  12  9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........83  77  68  61  48  35  33  32  30  26  22  18
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  62  64  67  70  72  75  77  79  80  80  79
RH..............100 100 100 97  87  81  71  67  62  58  58  60
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  13  14  15  16  18  21  21  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.4 4.0 3.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   7   9   10  12  13  15  17  18  20  20  20

$$
Forecaster...Rathbun
Requested by...Olney Knight
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521304.0/ALY
.DELDT 09/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Olney.knight@ct.gov