351
FNUS71 KALY 221144
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Butternut Fire...Massachusetts Emergency Management Agency
National Weather Service Albany NY
644 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Mix of rain and snow showers this morning transitions to rain
showers this afternoon then switches back to mix of rain and snow
showers tonight. Precipitation chances decrease later tonight into
Saturday morning with mostly cloudy skies for tomorrow with a few
lingering rain and snow showers. Southeast winds will be breezy
today with gusts between 15 and 25 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain and snow in the
                    morning, then rain showers with snow showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Dewpoint............32.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 17 to 24 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 99  99  98  97  96  93  91  89  86
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  70  70  80  70  70  70  70  70  80  70
Temp............35  34  34  35  36  37  38  38  39  39  38
Dewpoint........31  31  31  32  32  32  33  33  33  33  34
RH..............85  89  89  89  85  82  82  82  79  79  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..12  13  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   8
20 FT wind gust.22  22  24  25  25  25  24  22  20  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  22  23  23  24  24  24  22  20  17  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely early in the evening, then chance of
                    rain showers. Chance of snow showers late in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the north
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 17 mph shifting to the north 13 to
                    15 mph after 3 am.
Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........84  82  76  70  64  70  76  82  85  89  92  90
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  40  40  30  40  40  40  40  40  30  40
Temp............37  37  37  36  36  35  35  34  34  34  34  33
Dewpoint........35  36  36  35  35  35  34  34  34  34  34  33
RH..............92  96  96  96  96  98  97  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.15  14  13  12  10  10  10  10  12  13  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  16  14  13  12  10  10  10  12  13  15

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers early in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers through the day.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 9 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 31
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 28
                    to 32 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  86  83  80  77  77  78  78  79  81  82  81
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RS  RS  RS  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............33  34  35  37  38  39  40  41  41  41  40  40
Dewpoint........33  34  35  35  36  36  36  36  35  35  34  34
RH..............100 100 98  94  92  90  86  82  80  78  79  78
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  13  14  15  15  16  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.16  17  20  22  24  26  29  30  31  31  31  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  20  22  25  28  30  31  32  32  30  29  28

$$
Forecaster...Webb
Requested by...Nathan Moreau
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427070.2/ALY
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.moreau@mass.gov