Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
628
FNUS71 KALY 011501
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for Mad Tom/Western Bromley Rxs...USFS
National Weather Service Albany NY
1101 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions persist through most of today as high pressure
slowly departs to the east. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms return for the end of the week with a more
widespread rainfall likely over the weekend. Daily periods of
rain may continue through early next week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Dewpoint............26.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (31600 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26 31 32 38 43 49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 57 59 61 62 62
Dewpoint........24 24 25 26 26 28
RH..............30 28 27 26 25 27
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 6 6 7
20 FT wind gust.9 12 13 13 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.9 10 12 12 12 10
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..22 27 31 32 30 26
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the evening. Chance of
rain showers overnight, then rain showers
likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 42.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18200 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53 57 61 67 74 80 83 86 89 90 92 93
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 30 30 40 60 60 60
Temp............62 60 57 55 54 53 51 50 49 48 49 49
Dewpoint........31 34 36 37 38 38 38 38 39 41 42 44
RH..............31 37 45 51 54 57 61 63 68 77 77 83
20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.9 9 12 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.SW S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18 9 1 0 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning and early afternoon,
then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Dewpoint............48 increasing to 52 in the late morning and
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the
southwest around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusts up to 24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 22 mph increasing to 23 to 25
mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (76100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Pcpn amount.........0.11 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91 89 87 84 80 77 71 66 60 60 61 61
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 30 30 30 40 40 50 60 60 60 60
Temp............49 50 52 55 57 60 63 65 67 68 68 67
Dewpoint........46 48 50 51 52 52 53 53 53 53 53 53
RH..............89 93 93 86 83 75 70 65 61 59 59 61
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.20 20 20 21 21 22 23 23 24 24 24 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.3
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
Transp wind spd.13 13 14 15 17 20 21 22 23 24 25 24
LVORI...........5 6 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 5 11 19 29 42 56 67 74 76 70
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD
$$
Forecaster...Speciale
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2512408.2/ALY
.DELDT 05/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.mattrix@usda.gov,keith.sargent@usda.gov,eric.hughes@usda.gov,robert.a.goulding@usda.gov,martina.barnes@usda.gov