Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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602
FNUS51 KALY 132005
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level low and a frontal boundary will slowly
approach from the south and west tonight into Thursday bringing some
showers and a few thunderstorms.  Temperatures will be near normal
tomorrow with abundant cloud cover.  Expect temperatures and
humidity levels to increase Thursday into Friday, as a warm front
brings a renewed threat of showers and isolated thunderstorms on
Friday.

NYZ206-140815-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           20           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (+4)      68 (-6)      53           72
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (0)       58 (+16)     99           60
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  7 G23                 SE  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  7 G17    SE  9 G23    SE  9 G21    S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4200                      5250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 23                     S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  84000                     47250
ADI early             16 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good  20 Gen Poor  32 Fair
ADI late              9 Poor       64 Good      13 Gen Poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            5            6
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-140815-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           30           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+2)      71 (-4)      54           75
RH % (24H TREND)      81 (-1)      54 (+16)     100          59
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  5 G18                 Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  6 G18    S  9 G18     SE  7 G20    S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4400                      4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  61600                     32080
ADI early             21 Fair      42 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  12 Poor
ADI late              5 Very Poor  47 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  29 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            9
Max LVORI late        5            2            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-140815-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      53 (+1)      67 (-7)      55           73
RH % (24H TREND)      91 (+3)      64 (+16)     99           63
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  7 G20                 Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  7 G18    SE  9 G20    SE  8 G20    SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.07         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       2            6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3680                      4010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  66240                     32080
ADI early             22 Fair      42 Gen Good  22 Fair      15 Gen Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       50 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-140815-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Tstms        Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (-3)      62 (-9)      52           71
RH % (24H TREND)      96 (+9)      73 (+18)     100          65
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  7 G20                 Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  7 G20    SE  8 G20    SE  7 G21    SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.24         0.16         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       2            9            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 2930                      4130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  55670                     33040
ADI early             15 Gen Poor  38 Fair      16 Gen Poor  15 Gen Poor
ADI late              9 Poor       42 Gen Good  7 Poor       28 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            4            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-140815-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (-1)      70 (-3)      54           73
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (0)       54 (+16)     97           60
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  5 G18                 SE  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  7 G20    SE  8 G18    SE  8 G21    SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3860                      4140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  61760                     33120
ADI early             15 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  20 Gen Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       58 Gen Good  9 Poor       28 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-140815-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      46 (-5)      66 (-2)      52           67
RH % (24H TREND)      82 (0)       59 (+18)     100          70
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SE  6        SE  6 G20    Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.07         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3880                      4110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 18                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  62080                     32880
ADI early             10 Poor      35 Fair      11 Poor      12 Poor
ADI late              4 Very Poor  51 Gen Good  8 Poor       21 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-140815-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      47 (-3)      69 (-1)      55           68
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (-5)      55 (+17)     100          70
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      SE  5        SE  5        Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4560                      2880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  63840                     20160
ADI early             10 Poor      34 Fair      9 Poor       12 Poor
ADI late              3 Very Poor  58 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            6            5            9
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-140815-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (-1)      66 (-4)      55           70
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (-3)      58 (+20)     97           63
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  7 G20                 E  7 G17
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  8 G21    SE 10 G20    SE 10 G25    SE  6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.07         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3360                      3360
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  60480                     26880
ADI early             23 Fair      39 Fair      22 Fair      17 Gen Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       47 Gen Good  11 Poor      23 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            6
Max LVORI late        4            2            6            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-140815-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (0)       65 (-8)      55           71
RH % (24H TREND)      83 (-4)      65 (+24)     100          64
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  6 G18                  E  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  7 G18    SE  9 G18    SE  9 G21    SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.09         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3020                      2950
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  57380                     23600
ADI early             22 Fair      41 Gen Good  22 Fair      17 Gen Poor
ADI late              7 Poor       55 Gen Good  11 Poor      21 Fair
Max LVORI early       3            5            5            8
Max LVORI late        5            3            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-140815-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           70           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (0)       65 (-8)      55           71
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (-2)      70 (+25)     100          70
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  6 G18                  E  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  6        SE  9 G18    SE  9 G20    SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.19         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 2800                      2830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     SE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  53200                     22640
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  35 Fair      21 Fair      12 Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       51 Gen Good  9 Poor       21 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            9
Max LVORI late        5            4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-140815-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
405 PM EDT Tue May 13 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           80           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      53 (0)       64 (-10)     56           71
RH % (24H TREND)      88 (-3)      73 (+27)     100          72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  8 G20                  E  5
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SE  6        SE 11 G20    SE  9 G20    SE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.11         0.28         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            9            7            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 2520                      2520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  45360                     17640
ADI early             14 Gen Poor  35 Fair      20 Gen Poor  9 Poor
ADI late              8 Poor       40 Fair      8 Poor       20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI early       4            6            6            9
Max LVORI late        5            4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$