Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 181945
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Special Weather Statement in effect until 7 PM for the
Upper/Middle Hudson Valley and Catskill zones since RH values
are lower than previously forecast (25-35%), which combined with
increasing southerly wind gusts of 20-30 mph this afternoon
result in a an elevated risk of fire spread.

Special Weather Statement remains in effect for Litchfield
County, CT through 7 PM today due to input from CT State Fire
Weather Officials due to low relative humidity values around
25-35% and wind gusts of 20-30 mph.

Saturday will be warmer with high temperatures ranging from the
mid 70s to lower 80s in valley areas, with a west-southwest
wind gusting 20-30 mph at times. However, low level moisture
will also be increasing with minimum RH values of 40-50%
expected. Sunday looks cooler, but also much drier with minimum
RH values of 25-35% and northwest winds gusting 20-30 mph, so
there is an increased threat of fire spread and conditions will
need to be monitored.

NYZ206-190800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Tstms        Showers      None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+28)     68 (+6)      30           50
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+10)     67 (+39)     87           28
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G32                 NW  9 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  8 G25    W 11 G32     W 10 G32     NW 10 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.24         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            9            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4010                      5940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  92230                     124740
ADI early             21 Fair      33 Fair      30 Fair      89 Good
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  58 Gen Good  26 Fair      103 Very Good
Max LVORI early       3            4            4            3
Max LVORI late        4            3            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-190800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+26)     76 (+11)     37           58
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+6)      56 (+30)     79           23
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G34                 NW 10 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S  9 G31     SW 12 G34    W 10 G34     NW 13 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4250                      6990
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 24                     NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  89250                     160770
ADI early             24 Fair      34 Fair      31 Fair      89 Good
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  65 Good      21 Fair      112 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            3            3
Max LVORI late        4            2            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-190800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (+25)     80 (+12)     40           60
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (+15)     46 (+19)     86           26
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  7 G31                 NW 10 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S  9 G31     SW 11 G31    W  8 G32     NW 12 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 6200                      6580
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  155000                    144760
ADI early             31 Fair      48 Gen Good  34 Fair      97 Good
ADI late              12 Poor      98 Good      23 Fair      108 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-190800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+20)     78 (+14)     36           57
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (+15)     50 (+20)     87           28
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G31                 NW 10 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 10 G33     W 11 G31     W  9 G34     NW 11 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.05         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 6150                      5840
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 33                      NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  178350                    134320
ADI early             34 Fair      52 Gen Good  39 Fair      93 Good
ADI late              14 Gen Poor  126 Very Good28 Fair      98 Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-190800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Showers      None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      53 (+28)     74 (+9)      38           55
RH % (24H TREND)      77 (+8)      54 (+30)     85           25
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G34                 NW 12 G34
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 10 G34     SW 11 G34    W 11 G36     NW 13 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4130                      6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  103250                    169000
ADI early             29 Fair      40 Fair      34 Fair      99 Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  65 Good      29 Fair      127 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            3
Max LVORI late        3            2            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-190800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+22)     72 (+10)     36           52
RH % (24H TREND)      82 (+11)     59 (+34)     89           26
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G32                 NW 11 G34
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       SW  9 G29    W 10 G32     W 11 G36     NW 12 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4410                      6450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  123480                    180600
ADI early             29 Fair      56 Gen Good  39 Fair      108 Very Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  94 Good      36 Fair      132 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            3
Max LVORI late        4            2            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-190800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+24)     76 (+12)     41           56
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+7)      49 (+26)     81           22
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  6 G32                 NW  9 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S  7 G27     SW  9 G32    W  8 G34     NW 11 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       9 AM         Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   10 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4300                      6620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 30                      NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  111800                    178740
ADI early             30 Fair      64 Good      34 Fair      112 Very Good
ADI late              10 Poor      102 Very Good24 Fair      136 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            1
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-190800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           None         Tstms        Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+25)     75 (+11)     38           55
RH % (24H TREND)      79 (+14)     49 (+25)     83           25
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW 10 G33                 NW 14 G39
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 11 G33     W 12 G33     W 12 G41     NW 14 G39
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.06         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 AM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4360                      5910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  104640                    153660
ADI early             26 Fair      39 Fair      34 Fair      111 Very Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  93 Good      34 Fair      126 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-190800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      51 (+25)     78 (+13)     39           56
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (+19)     49 (+24)     86           28
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  9 G31                 NW 13 G36
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S 10 G31     SW 12 G31    W 10 G37     NW 14 G36
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5270                      5530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  131750                    138250
ADI early             30 Fair      45 Gen Good  36 Fair      111 Very Good
ADI late              14 Gen Poor  104 Very Good34 Fair      115 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            4            3
Max LVORI late        4            1            4            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-190800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+22)     79 (+13)     42           58
RH % (24H TREND)      87 (+21)     47 (+21)     84           29
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G29                 NW 12 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S  9 G27     SW 12 G29    W  9 G32     NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5720                      5550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 32                      NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  160160                    133200
ADI early             29 Fair      55 Gen Good  38 Fair      110 Very Good
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  131 Very Good28 Fair      114 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            3            1
Max LVORI late        4            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-190800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
344 PM EDT Fri Apr 18 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         Showers      Tstms        None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      50 (+21)     81 (+15)     45           61
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (+27)     45 (+19)     78           26
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SW  8 G28                 NW 11 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       S  9 G27     SW 12 G28    W  8 G28     NW 12 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        Continuing
PRECIP END                         Continuing   12 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5780                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  156060                    134400
ADI early             28 Fair      75 Good      38 Fair      104 Very Good
ADI late              10 Poor      132 Very Good27 Fair      115 Very Good
Max LVORI early       2            4            3            1
Max LVORI late        5            1            3            1

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs
in the mid 60s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$