Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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084
FNUS51 KALY 150803
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An active pattern is setting up over the next several days. An
upper level disturbance will bring scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms today, with warm temperatures and
somewhat humid conditions. A warm front will bring additional
showers and thunderstorms on Friday, with warm and humid
conditions persisting. A cold front will result in more showers
and thunderstorms Saturday, some of which could be strong to
severe.

NYZ206-152000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           80
TEMP (24H TREND)      74 (+7)      54 (-2)      76
RH % (24H TREND)      57 (0)       100 (+3)     60
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.23
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4590                      5140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     36720                     61680
ADI early             29 Fair      5 Very Poor  34 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      3 Very Poor  47 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            7            8
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-152000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      77 (+6)      56 (-1)      80
RH % (24H TREND)      59 (+6)      100 (+3)     56
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.03         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4590                      4720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     41310                     47200
ADI early             23 Fair      6 Very Poor  25 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen Good  3 Very Poor  49 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       7            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-152000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+10)     57 (0)       79
RH % (24H TREND)      64 (-5)      100 (+1)     61
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4410                      4320
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     39690                     38880
ADI early             23 Fair      5 Very Poor  21 Fair
ADI late              33 Fair      3 Very Poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-152000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      72 (+12)     55 (0)       75
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (-11)     100 (+1)     66
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.32
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        Continuing   8 AM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3990                      3430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     35910                     27440
ADI early             19 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
ADI late              25 Fair      3 Very Poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-152000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+7)      56 (0)       80
RH % (24H TREND)      60 (+5)      100 (+5)     54
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.07         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 AM        Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4850                      5110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     43650                     40880
ADI early             37 Fair      5 Very Poor  23 Fair
ADI late              40 Fair      3 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            7
Max LVORI late        2            8            2

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-152000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      70 (+6)      55 (+1)      75
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (+7)      100 (+1)     61
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.04         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4800                      4880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     43200                     39040
ADI early             17 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor
ADI late              31 Fair      3 Very Poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-152000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Showers      Showers      Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (+1)      57 (+2)      78
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (+14)     100 (0)      57
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3340                      4410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     26720                     39690
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  4 Very Poor  21 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      3 Very Poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-152000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      73 (+6)      57 (+1)      78
RH % (24H TREND)      64 (+4)      99 (+3)      55
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.07         0.09
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3950                      4270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     39500                     34160
ADI early             26 Fair      5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
ADI late              32 Fair      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            6            7
Max LVORI late        3            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-152000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      74 (+6)      58 (+3)      78
RH % (24H TREND)      67 (-1)      100 (0)      59
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.06         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3570                      3860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     35700                     30880
ADI early             21 Fair      5 Very Poor  17 Gen Poor
ADI late              33 Fair      3 Very Poor  30 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-152000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      73 (+5)      58 (+2)      78
RH % (24H TREND)      70 (-3)      100 (0)      62
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.04         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         Continuing   2 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    3330                      4040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     29970                     32320
ADI early             12 Poor      6 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
ADI late              27 Fair      3 Very Poor  32 Fair
Max LVORI early       9            8            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-152000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
402 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      73 (+4)      59 (+3)      77
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (0)       100 (0)      65
20FTWND-AM(MPH)       Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         Continuing   2 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing   11 PM        Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    2540                      3460
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     17780                     27680
ADI early             12 Poor      5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
ADI late              21 Fair      3 Very Poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            8            9
Max LVORI late        5            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Northwest winds 25 to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. North winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$