Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
865
FNUS51 KALY 171847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Saturday will feature RH values in the 30-40% range for areas
from the Hudson Valley eastwards, but the risk for fire spread
looks low due to light winds. Sunday, winds look to increase
substantially with south/southeast gusts of up to 25-35 mph in
the afternoon. Confidence is low on how low minimum RH values
get, but at this point a "reasonable worst case" scenario is
for minimum RH of around 40% in the upper Hudson Valley and
western Bennington County with minimum RH values 50-60%
elsewhere. A widespread wetting rainfall is expected Sunday
night into Monday, which should quell any additional fire
weather concerns.
NYZ206-180800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Showers Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 29 (+2) 62 (+9) 39 70
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (+6) 43 (+9) 93 46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var SE 5 G29
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 8 G29
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2780 3650
Transport Wnd (mph) S 7 S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 16680 76650
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 5 6
Max LVORI late 7 2 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-180800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 27 (-3) 63 (+6) 39 72
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+12) 39 (+3) 96 44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 G28
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 10 G28
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2730 4170
Transport Wnd (mph) S 5 S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 10920 79230
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 5 8 4 8
Max LVORI late 7 2 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-180800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 30 (-4) 64 (+6) 41 71
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+17) 40 (+5) 98 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 G31
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 10 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3400 4220
Transport Wnd (mph) S 5 S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13600 80180
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 9 5 8
Max LVORI late 7 2 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-180800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None Rain
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 30 (-3) 64 (+9) 40 68
RH % (24H Trend) 91 (+12) 42 (+10) 97 53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 6 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 9 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3240 3990
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 5 S 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12960 75810
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 6 5 7
Max LVORI late 5 2 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-180800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 28 (-3) 63 (+9) 42 71
RH % (24H Trend) 93 (+7) 34 (-8) 85 43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 6 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 9 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3040 4210
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12160 71570
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 6 4 5
Max LVORI late 6 2 4 2
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-180800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 28 (-4) 62 (+9) 40 68
RH % (24H Trend) 89 (+8) 35 (-9) 90 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3540 4160
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 14160 70720
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 6 4 6
Max LVORI late 5 2 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-180800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 30 (-6) 64 (+6) 40 69
RH % (24H Trend) 93 (+15) 34 (-7) 96 46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3400 3950
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13600 67150
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 8
Max LVORI late 7 2 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-180800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 29 (-2) 62 (+8) 41 69
RH % (24H Trend) 92 (+11) 34 (-8) 88 48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 6 G31
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 10 G31
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2980 3990
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 11920 71820
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 6
Max LVORI late 6 2 5 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-180800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 30 (-2) 63 (+8) 42 69
RH % (24H Trend) 94 (+11) 36 (-5) 94 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 6 G28
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 9 G28
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2990 3990
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 11960 71820
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 7
Max LVORI late 7 2 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-180800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 31 (-5) 63 (+6) 43 69
RH % (24H Trend) 92 (+17) 37 (-3) 99 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 G28
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 9 G28
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3330 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 13320 74520
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 9
Max LVORI late 6 2 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-180800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
246 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 33 (-6) 63 (+4) 44 70
RH % (24H Trend) 90 (+22) 38 (-1) 100 55
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var S 5 G28
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) N 5 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 11 G28
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3230 4120
Transport Wnd (mph) W 5 S 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 12920 74160
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 4 7 4 10
Max LVORI late 5 2 9 4
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in
the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$