Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
491
FNUS51 KALY 121856
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
Issued by National Weather Service Burlington VT
155 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Chilly weather and periods of lake effect snow showers will
continue through early Friday morning. Most locations will be
warm enough to see some light rain or a rain/snow mix, while
snow accumulations will be confined to the southern
Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley, northern Catskills, and southern
Greens. Drier weather late in the week will be followed by a
wintry mix changing to plain rain Saturday night, with breezy
and colder conditions returning on Sunday.
NYZ206-130915-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 90 50 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 25 (0) 39 (+2) 21 36
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+4) 67 (-15) 100 58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 6 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 6 G19 NW 7 G20 NW 5 NW 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.10 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 5 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3620 4140
Transport Wnd (mph) W 3 NW 2
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 10860 8280
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 10 9 9
Max LVORI late 9 5 9 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-130915-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 60 30 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 27 (0) 45 (+5) 23 43
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+9) 57 (-15) 96 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 6 G21 NW 5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) SW 6 G18 NW 8 G21 NW 5 G17 NW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 0
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 10 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 9 6 8
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-130915-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Frz Rain Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 32 (+2) 47 (+4) 25 44
RH % (24H Trend) 99 (+14) 56 (-5) 97 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 8 G24 NW 6 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) SW 6 G19 NW 9 G24 NW 6 G19 NW 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5030 6400
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 5 NW 3
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 20120 19200
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 7 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-130915-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 29 (+3) 43 (+4) 24 41
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+13) 62 (-2) 96 55
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 9 G24 NW 7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 8 G23 NW 9 G24 NW 8 G24 NW 7 G20
Precip Amount 0.01 0.06 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 7 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4080 5580
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 7 NW 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 24480 33480
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor 1 Very Poor 1 Very Poor
ADI late 1 Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 7 6 6
Max LVORI late 7 4 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-130915-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 28 (+4) 42 (+3) 23 39
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+9) 63 (-8) 99 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 7 G20 NW 5 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) SW 7 G21 NW 8 G20 NW 6 G17 NW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM
Precip End 2 AM 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 9 7 9
Max LVORI late 9 4 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-130915-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 28 (+6) 40 (+3) 21 37
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+8) 70 (-3) 97 59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 6 G19 NW 5 G17
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 5 G21 NW 5 G19 Lgt/Var NW 5 G17
Precip Amount 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing
Precip End 2 AM Continuing 7 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 9 5 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-130915-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 30 (+2) 45 (+4) 26 42
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (+13) 57 (-6) 89 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 5 G18 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 5 G18 Lgt/Var NW 5 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 PM 10 AM
Precip End 1 AM 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 8 6 6
Max LVORI late 8 4 6 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-130915-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Frz Rain None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 30 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 29 (+4) 41 (+2) 23 39
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+12) 66 (+2) 96 54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 10 G23 NW 8 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 7 G23 NW 10 G23 NW 9 G20 NW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 9 5 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-130915-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 31 (+3) 44 (+3) 25 41
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (+14) 66 (+6) 96 54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 8 G23 NW 7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) SW 6 G19 NW 9 G23 NW 8 G20 NW 8 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 PM 6 AM
Precip End 1 AM 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 10 8 8
Max LVORI late 9 5 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-130915-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 33 (+3) 46 (+3) 28 42
RH % (24H Trend) 98 (+16) 62 (+5) 93 53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 7 G23 NW 7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 6 G17 NW 9 G23 NW 7 G19 NW 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 9 7 7
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-130915-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
156 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 34 (+3) 48 (+3) 29 44
RH % (24H Trend) 95 (+16) 58 (+3) 92 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 9 G23 NW 8 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 7 G17 NW 11 G23 NW 7 G18 NW 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)
Transport Wnd (mph) N 0 N 0
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 0
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 8 7 7
Max LVORI late 7 4 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs around
40. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain with freezing rain and snow likely. Lows around
30. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow and rain. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 20 to
30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$