Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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536
FNUS51 KALY 130703
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A coastal storm will continue to sit offshore the mid Atlantic
States today, allowing for breezy northerly winds and periods of
rain showers through the day, with cooler and cloudy conditions.
The rain will taper off for Tuesday, with some breaks in the
cloud cover by Tuesday afternoon. Dry weather will be in place for
the rest of the week, with temperatures moderating from below
normal back closer to seasonable by the weekend.

NYZ206-132000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     70           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      57 (-2)      41 (-1)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      69 (+25)     100 (+6)     62
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  E  6 G23                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E  5 G23     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.17         0.12         0.00
Precip Duration       7            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2440                      3000
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 20                      N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41480                     24000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            10
Max LVORI late        6            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-132000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           50           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      55 (-7)      43 (0)       62
RH % (24H Trend)      79 (+32)     100 (+2)     70
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE  9 G23                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  9 G23    NE  7 G20    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.38         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       10           2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2390                      2380
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 17                     N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35850                     16660
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            10
Max LVORI late        7            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-132000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           40           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (-5)      45 (-3)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      82 (+18)     100 (0)      69
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 11 G31                 N  6 G24
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  9 G31    NE  8 G28    N  6 G24
Precip Amount         0.57         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       9            2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2540                      3370
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 20                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     43180                     37070
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        9            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-132000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     90           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      53 (-4)      41 (-5)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      79 (+14)     100 (+2)     66
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 11 G34                 N  6 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  8 G34    NE  8 G26    N  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.64         0.17         0.00
Precip Duration       9            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2740                      3330
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 22                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52060                     36630
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            9
Max LVORI late        7            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-132000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      53 (-5)      41 (-3)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      76 (+23)     100 (+1)     70
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 11 G28                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  9 G28    E  8 G23     Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.36         0.10         0.02
Precip Duration       9            4            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2670                      2360
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 24                      N  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     56070                     14160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            10
Max LVORI late        7            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-132000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           70           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      50 (-3)      40 (-2)      58
RH % (24H Trend)      89 (+23)     100 (0)      79
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE  9 G31                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  7 G31    NE  6 G24    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.57         0.13         0.03
Precip Duration       10           5            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2490                      2330
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 24                      NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     52290                     18640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        9            10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-132000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           70           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      51 (-5)      43 (0)       59
RH % (24H Trend)      86 (+21)     100 (0)      76
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE  6 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5 G24    NE  5 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.60         0.13         0.02
Precip Duration       9            5            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2330                      2050
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 18                     NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     37280                     18450
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-132000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      52 (-1)      41 (-4)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      80 (+9)      100 (+1)     72
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 15 G34                 NE  6 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   E 12 G34     E 11 G27     N  5 G21
Precip Amount         0.44         0.09         0.02
Precip Duration       9            3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2560                      2390
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 28                      N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     61440                     21510
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10
Max LVORI late        8            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-132000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           60           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (0)       43 (-3)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      84 (+8)      100 (0)      74
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 14 G33                 NE  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 11 G33    NE 10 G28    N  5 G21
Precip Amount         0.39         0.07         0.01
Precip Duration       9            3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2470                      2570
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 30                      N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64220                     28270
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        8            10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-132000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           60           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (-1)      45 (-3)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      89 (+12)     100 (0)      77
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 14 G33                 NE  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 12 G33    NE 11 G33    N  6 G23
Precip Amount         0.44         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       9            3            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2410                      2560
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 30                     NE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62660                     35840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-132000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
301 AM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           50           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      55 (-1)      47 (-3)      61
RH % (24H Trend)      94 (+15)     100 (0)      81
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE 17 G35                 NE 11 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE 16 G35    NE 14 G33    N  9 G25
Precip Amount         0.44         0.09         0.00
Precip Duration       10           2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2250                      2490
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 29                     NE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     56250                     39840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$