Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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017
FNUS51 KALY 212110
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will bring widespread precipitation in the form of
rain and snow through Friday. Snow will be mainly favored
across the higher elevations with several inches of accumulation
expected in the Catskills. Precipitation tapers to valley rain
and high-elevation snow showers over the weekend, with continued
cool and breezy conditions.

NYZ206-220900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           70
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-6)      42 (+4)      28           40
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     73 (-10)     100          77
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    NE  8 G25                 NW  8 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       Lgt/Var      E  8 G25     NE  5        NW  8 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.12         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       12           4            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4360                      3410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E 24                      NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  91560                     64790
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
ADI early             10 Poor      51 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  41 Gen Good
ADI late              16 Gen Poor  54 Gen Good  11 Poor      43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            7            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-220900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      33 (-5)      47 (+5)      32           45
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+3)     65 (-18)     99           65
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  9 G27                  NW  8 G26
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  7 G31    E  7 G27     Lgt/Var      NW  9 G26
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.10         0.11         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       12           4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4590                      3880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  82620                     73720
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            3
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good  7 Poor       46 Gen Good
ADI late              17 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good  9 Poor       50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6            5
Max LVORI late        5            4            6            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-220900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-10)     44 (+2)      30           45
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+2)     75 (-7)      100          65
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  8 G25                 NW  9 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       N  6 G28     SE  6 G25    Lgt/Var      NW 11 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.88         0.20         0.12         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       12           7            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4460                      3890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 21                     NW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  80280                     85580
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            3
ADI early             11 Poor      41 Gen Good  7 Poor       55 Gen Good
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  44 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  59 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-220900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow         Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      27 (-9)      38 (0)       27           41
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     82 (-6)      100          72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  6 G28                 NW 10 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       N  6 G29     SE  6 G28    Lgt/Var      NW 12 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.16         0.41         0.15         0.03
PRECIP DURATION       12           7            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3120                      3490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  53040                     87250
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
ADI early             10 Poor      30 Fair      10 Poor      56 Gen Good
ADI late              11 Poor      35 Fair      15 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       6            6            7            4
Max LVORI late        8            5            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-220900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Rain         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      32 (-7)      45 (+4)      32           42
RH % (24H TREND)      99 (+5)      67 (-15)     100          71
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    E  9 G27                  NW  7 G25
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       E  7 G34     E  8 G27     Lgt/Var      NW  9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.11         0.24         0.16
PRECIP DURATION       12           3            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4410                      3190
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 26                     NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  101430                    54230
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
ADI early             15 Gen Poor  63 Good      10 Poor      35 Fair
ADI late              21 Fair      69 Good      9 Poor       40 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            4            6            5
Max LVORI late        5            4            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-220900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (-7)      42 (+3)      30           40
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     78 (-15)     100          77
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  8 G27                 NW  8 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       E  8 G33     E  7 G27     Lgt/Var      NW 10 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.85         0.22         0.34         0.15
PRECIP DURATION       12           3            6            6
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4180                      2940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  79420                     67620
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
ADI early             17 Gen Poor  45 Gen Good  9 Poor       46 Gen Good
ADI late              21 Fair      51 Gen Good  11 Poor      52 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            8            5
Max LVORI late        5            5            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-220900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Rain         Showers      Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      33 (-3)      45 (+5)      34           44
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     70 (-22)     100          69
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  6 G25                 NW  7 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  6 G31    E  5 G25     Lgt/Var      NW  9 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.51         0.12         0.37         0.13
PRECIP DURATION       12           2            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4610                      3330
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  78370                     83250
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             13 Gen Poor  47 Gen Good  8 Poor       55 Gen Good
ADI late              18 Gen Poor  53 Gen Good  9 Poor       61 Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            8            5
Max LVORI late        5            4            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-220900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Rain         Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      29 (-9)      42 (+2)      32           40
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+5)     72 (-14)     99           72
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  9 G27                 NW 10 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       E  9 G34     E  8 G27     NE  5 G18    NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.69         0.17         0.19         0.10
PRECIP DURATION       12           3            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 4290                      3110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 26                     NW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  98670                     74640
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            2
ADI early             19 Gen Poor  55 Gen Good  11 Poor      47 Gen Good
ADI late              22 Fair      64 Good      15 Gen Poor  57 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            4
Max LVORI late        5            3            6            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-220900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Rain         Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-9)      42 (+1)      31           41
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+2)     77 (-12)     100          74
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    SE  8 G26                 NW 11 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  8 G33    SE  7 G26    Lgt/Var      NW 14 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.13         0.22         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       12           4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3750                      3120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 24                     NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  78750                     81120
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            2
ADI early             18 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good  10 Poor      52 Gen Good
ADI late              21 Fair      56 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  63 Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            7            4
Max LVORI late        5            4            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-220900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           50           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-10)     43 (0)       32           44
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+1)     79 (-12)     100          69
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    S  8 G24                  NW 11 G32
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  8 G29    SE  7 G24    Lgt/Var      NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.94         0.11         0.18         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       11           4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3800                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 22                     NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  72200                     91000
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             14 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good  8 Poor       59 Gen Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  51 Gen Good  15 Gen Poor  68 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-220900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
409 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
PRECIP TYPE           Snow/Rain    Snow/Rain    Showers      Showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           50           30
TEMP (24H TREND)      31 (-10)     43 (-1)      33           46
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (+2)     78 (-12)     100          63
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    S  8 G20                  NW 10 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NE  8 G25    SE  6 G20    Lgt/Var      NW 13 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.08         0.10         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       11           4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3540                      3540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                  60180                     92040
LAL                   1            1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
ADI early             14 Gen Poor  42 Gen Good  7 Poor       65 Good
ADI late              15 Gen Poor  48 Gen Good  13 Gen Poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            7            5
Max LVORI late        6            5            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow showers likely.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Windy. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. West winds 20 to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow
showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Windy. Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds 20 to
30 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain or snow. Lows
in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$