Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 130702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain/snow showers and cool temperatures
continue today and Friday, although lake effect precipitation will
not be as widespread on Friday. Drier weather briefly returns
Saturday, but a low pressure system tracking to our north will bring
valley rain and high-elevation wintry mix changing to rain Saturday
night and Sunday. Additional lake effect snow showers will be
possible behind this storm early next week with another cold
airmass moving over the region.

NYZ206-132100-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      37 (+4)      20 (-11)     35
RH % (24H Trend)      80 (-2)      100 (+1)     66
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  5 G20                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G20    Lgt/Var      NW  5 G18
Precip Amount         0.05         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration       2            1            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4140                      5540
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 18                     NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66240                     88640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            10
Max LVORI late        7            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-132100-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (+7)      23 (-11)     40
RH % (24H Trend)      65 (-7)      97 (+1)      55
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  6 G20                  NW  5 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  7 G20    NW  5 G17    NW  6 G18
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4560                      5890
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 16                     NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     63840                     88350
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-132100-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (+4)      25 (-12)     43
RH % (24H Trend)      62 (+1)      98 (+10)     53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  8 G27                  NW  6 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  9 G27    NW  6 G20    NW  7 G19
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5270                      6590
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 23                     NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     105400                    125210
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            9
Max LVORI late        5            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-132100-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (+4)      24 (-10)     40
RH % (24H Trend)      70 (+6)      96 (+2)      58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  8 G28                  NW  6 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  9 G28    NW  8 G25    NW  7 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration       2            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4220                      6040
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 26                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     97060                     132880
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            7
Max LVORI late        6            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-132100-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (+6)      22 (-12)     38
RH % (24H Trend)      75 (+4)      100 (+4)     60
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  6 G19                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G19    NW  5 G17    NW  6 G18
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3830                      4850
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 14                      NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     45960                     72750
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        6            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-132100-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     30           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      39 (+6)      21 (-10)     36
RH % (24H Trend)      75 (+2)      98 (0)       65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  5 G19                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  5 G19    Lgt/Var      NW  5 G18
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4110                      5000
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 17                      NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     61650                     85000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        6            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-132100-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (+7)      26 (-8)      41
RH % (24H Trend)      62 (-1)      90 (-4)      52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  5 G18    Lgt/Var      NW  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4510                      5610
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76670                     100980
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-132100-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      39 (+5)      23 (-10)     38
RH % (24H Trend)      78 (+14)     99 (+5)      59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  8 G25                  NW  7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   W  9 G25     NW  8 G21    NW  8 G20
Precip Amount         0.06         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3560                      4490
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 21                      NW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     64080                     80820
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            7            8
Max LVORI late        7            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-132100-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      41 (+4)      25 (-10)     40
RH % (24H Trend)      76 (+16)     98 (+5)      58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  6 G26                  NW  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  8 G26    NW  7 G21    NW  7 G21
Precip Amount         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       2
Precip Begin          6 AM
Precip End            4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3280                      4960
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 20                      NW 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     55760                     94240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            8
Max LVORI late        6            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-132100-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      43 (+3)      28 (-9)      41
RH % (24H Trend)      69 (+12)     94 (+6)      56
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  7 G25                  NW  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  8 G25    NW  6 G20    NW  8 G21
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          9 AM
Precip End            3 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4280                      5790
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 21                      NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77040                     115800
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            7
Max LVORI late        4            7            4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-132100-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
201 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      45 (+2)      29 (-9)      43
RH % (24H Trend)      62 (+7)      93 (+9)      54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  W  9 G26                  NW  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW 10 G26    NW  6 G19    NW  8 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4780                      5880
Transport Wnd (mph)   W 24                      NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     100380                    117600
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            6            7
Max LVORI late        4            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow likely and freezing rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow showers. Colder. Lows
in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$