Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 310702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure tracking along a stalled frontal boundary will
bring much cooler conditions along with a widespread rainfall
today through tonight. Rain may fall heavy at times across the
mid- Hudson Valley into Litchfield County which could lead to
flooding. High pressure will build into the region beginning on
Friday and bring a stretch of dry weather which will last into
early next week.

NYZ206-312000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      69 (-13)     48 (-12)     72
RH % (24H Trend)      56 (+3)      91 (+7)      45
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration       4            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5040                      8220
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE  8                     N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     35280                     65760
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            6
Max LVORI late        4            6            2

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-312000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           70           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      71 (-17)     52 (-10)     75
RH % (24H Trend)      60 (+13)     95 (+11)     47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE  5                     NE  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  5        NE  5
Precip Amount         0.08         0.14         0.03
Precip Duration       9            6            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4410                      8210
Transport Wnd (mph)   N 10                      N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     39690                     73890
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            7            3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-312000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      73 (-18)     55 (-11)     72
RH % (24H Trend)      76 (+27)     100 (+12)    59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NE  5 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5 G17    NE  5 G19    N  5 G19
Precip Amount         0.61         0.83         0.15
Precip Duration       9            10           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3460                      7080
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 12                     NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     34600                     70800
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            10           9
Max LVORI late        9            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-312000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      70 (-17)     51 (-12)     69
RH % (24H Trend)      77 (+27)     100 (+13)    64
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NE  5 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  5 G20    N  5 G20
Precip Amount         0.73         0.89         0.14
Precip Duration       7            9            2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2900                      5920
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 12                     N 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     29000                     65120
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            9
Max LVORI late        9            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-312000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      70 (-16)     52 (-10)     71
RH % (24H Trend)      67 (+18)     98 (+10)     58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      N  5
Precip Amount         0.19         0.36         0.06
Precip Duration       9            8            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020                      6280
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE  6                     N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20100                     50240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            8
Max LVORI late        6            8            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-312000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      69 (-15)     51 (-11)     68
RH % (24H Trend)      71 (+21)     100 (+10)    65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.26         0.54         0.11
Precip Duration       8            9            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3700                      6250
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE  7                     NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     22200                     50000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            9
Max LVORI late        7            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-312000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      72 (-18)     53 (-12)     71
RH % (24H Trend)      67 (+22)     100 (+14)    61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.24         0.56         0.11
Precip Duration       7            9            1
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3350                      6430
Transport Wnd (mph)   N  7                      NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20100                     51440
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            10
Max LVORI late        6            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-312000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     100          90           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      70 (-17)     54 (-9)      69
RH % (24H Trend)      70 (+26)     100 (+14)    62
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NE  6 G18
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  5 G18    NE  5 G18
Precip Amount         0.56         0.77         0.14
Precip Duration       8            11           2
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3080                      5880
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE  8                     NE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     21560                     52920
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            9
Max LVORI late        7            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-312000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      72 (-17)     54 (-11)     70
RH % (24H Trend)      73 (+27)     100 (+12)    67
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NE  5 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  5 G19    NE  5 G19
Precip Amount         0.50         0.95         0.15
Precip Duration       6            12           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2920                      5090
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 10                     NE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     26280                     50900
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            10           9
Max LVORI late        8            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-312000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     90           90           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      74 (-16)     56 (-11)     70
RH % (24H Trend)      79 (+28)     100 (+9)     72
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NE  6 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  5 G19    NE  6 G19
Precip Amount         0.60         1.08         0.21
Precip Duration       6            12           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2460                      5060
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 13                     NE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27060                     60720
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            10           9
Max LVORI late        10           10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-312000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
301 AM EDT Thu Jul 31 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 50           50           0
Temp (24H Trend)      77 (-15)     57 (-11)     71
RH % (24H Trend)      78 (+26)     100 (+7)     75
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NE  5                     NE  8 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NE  5        NE  6 G20    NE  7 G19
Precip Amount         0.55         1.07         0.28
Precip Duration       5            12           3
Precip Begin          6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2330                      4360
Transport Wnd (mph)   NE 15                     NE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     30290                     61040
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            10           9
Max LVORI late        10           10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around
80. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$