Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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036
FNUS51 KALY 061848
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions through tomorrow morning. A weather system
arrives tomorrow afternoon bringing rainfall to eastern New York
and western New England through early Wednesday morning. Behind
the front, another period of dry but more seasonable weather is
in store for the rest of the week and at least into the first
half of next weekend.

NYZ206-070800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            80           100          20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           0
Temp (24H Trend)      51 (+6)      74 (-3)      42           59
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (-2)      64 (+23)     100          43
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   NW  6 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  5 G18    SW  5 G19    NW  6 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.27         0.73         0.08
Precip Duration                    4            12           3
Precip Begin                       11 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4300                      6570
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  68800                     111690
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            10           10
Max LVORI late        7            5            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-070800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      53 (+3)      79 (-1)      48           65
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     57 (+14)     100          41
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  5 G21                  N  7 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G21    SW  7 G21    N  9 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.11         0.57         0.19
Precip Duration                    1            11           3
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4540                      6990
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  68100                     118830
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            8            10
Max LVORI late        7            4            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-070800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (+3)      79 (-1)      50           66
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     56 (+14)     100          44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  5 G21                  NW  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  7 G21     S  6 G21     NW  9 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.54         0.31
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5350                      6960
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  85600                     125280
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        8            4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-070800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      52 (+2)      76 (-1)      46           63
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+11)    58 (+18)     100          44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   NW  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  6 G19    SW  6 G23    NW  8 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.59         0.27
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4880                      5770
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     N 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  73200                     115400
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        8            4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-070800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      53 (+1)      79 (+1)      48           62
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (+3)      52 (+13)     100          46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  5 G21                  NW  7 G21
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  7 G21    S  8 G23     NW  9 G21
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.59         0.28
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5350                      5730
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 20                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  90950                     103140
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            8            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            3            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-070800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      52 (-1)      77 (0)       47           61
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (+7)      55 (+16)     100          52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G20
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  5 G19    SW  5 G21    NW  5 G20
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.53         0.32
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5580                      5640
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  100440                    101520
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       4            8            6            10
Max LVORI late        7            4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-070800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      52 (0)       80 (-1)      53           65
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     53 (+14)     100          46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G19
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G19     S  5 G19     NW  5 G19
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.45         0.31
Precip Duration                    1            9            7
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5320                      5740
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 20                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  90440                     103320
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-070800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      53 (+1)      77 (-1)      49           63
RH % (24H Trend)      99 (+3)      53 (+16)     100          48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G21                 NW  9 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  5        SW  9 G21    SW  8 G23    NW 10 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.51         0.36
Precip Duration                    0            10           3
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4240                      5140
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  76320                     92520
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            6            10
Max LVORI late        8            3            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-070800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      54 (+3)      77 (-1)      51           64
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     56 (+16)     100          51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G21                 NW  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G21    S  7 G23     NW  9 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.47         0.38
Precip Duration                                 9            7
Precip Begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4200                      4660
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 21                     N 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  75600                     88540
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            10           6            10
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-070800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      55 (+2)      78 (-1)      52           65
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     57 (+13)     100          53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G20                 NW  7 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  8 G20    S  6 G20     NW  9 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.50         0.52
Precip Duration                                 5            7
Precip Begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4480                      4430
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 21                     N 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  80640                     84170
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-070800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
246 PM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            90           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      55 (+2)      79 (0)       54           66
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      59 (+12)     100          58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  5 G21                  W  8 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  5         SW  9 G21    S  8 G20     N 10 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.46         0.58
Precip Duration                                 5            7
Precip Begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4410                      3730
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 20                     N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  74970                     59680
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 60.
North winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$