Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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527
FNUS51 KALY 121847
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered showers and widely thunderstorms today
into tonight with any storm capable of locally heavy downpours
and brief gusty winds. Warm and muggy conditions continue
through tomorrow with a break for dry weather before a slow
moving cold front ushers in additional showers and thunderstorms
Sunday afternoon into Monday. Dangerous heat and humidity then
returns Tuesday through the end of the week.

NYZ206-130800-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           70           80           30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           50           50           30
Temp (24H Trend)      64 (+1)      82 (-1)      63           82
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+4)     71 (+11)     100          53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.08         0.44         0.43         0.09
Precip Duration       1            4            11           3
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4120                      5390
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53560                     53900
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            10           10
Max LVORI late        9            5            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-130800-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           70           60
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           40           50           50
Temp (24H Trend)      65 (-1)      87 (+2)      66           85
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     62 (+2)      100          60
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  6 G18                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  7 G18     S  5 G17     SW  5
Precip Amount         0.08         0.05         0.21         0.19
Precip Duration       2            1            5            7
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4560                      4830
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  59280                     38640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            7            9
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-130800-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           50           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           50           70
Temp (24H Trend)      64 (-3)      86 (+1)      66           83
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     61 (0)       100          72
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.05         0.01         0.07         0.24
Precip Duration       1            1            2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM         8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5040                      3300
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  60480                     23100
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            9
Max LVORI late        9            4            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-130800-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     50           40           60           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           40           50           70
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-4)      82 (+1)      62           81
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     68 (+4)      100          73
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.08         0.01         0.09         0.23
Precip Duration       1            1            5            9
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4830                      2840
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 13                      W  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53130                     17040
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           8            10
Max LVORI late        9            5            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-130800-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     60           20           50           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           20           50           50
Temp (24H Trend)      63 (-3)      85 (+2)      64           81
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (-1)      58 (-5)      99           75
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.14         0.00         0.09         0.36
Precip Duration       2            0            2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM         2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4930                      2520
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      W  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  59160                     17640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            8            6            9
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            7

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-130800-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     60           0            40           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            20           50
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-3)      82 (+3)      63           79
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      63 (-6)      100          81
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.08         0.00         0.03         0.32
Precip Duration       1                         2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 PM                     Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4880                      2490
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  58560                     17430
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           7            9
Max LVORI late        10           4            9            8

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-130800-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            30           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            20           50
Temp (24H Trend)      64 (-2)      84 (+2)      66           81
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      59 (-7)      100          79
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.01         0.20
Precip Duration       1                         1            5
Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            1 AM                      Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4400                      3280
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  57200                     26240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           7            9
Max LVORI late        10           4            9            8

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-130800-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           0            30           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            20           50
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-4)      85 (+4)      63           81
RH % (24H Trend)      99 (+1)      54 (-6)      98           72
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6         S  5         SW  5
Precip Amount         0.07         0.00         0.01         0.21
Precip Duration       1                         2            8
Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            11 PM                     Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4850                      2600
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      W  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  58200                     20800
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            6            8
Max LVORI late        8            4            8            6

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-130800-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            30           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            50
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (-4)      85 (+2)      65           81
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      59 (0)       100          77
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         S  5         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.19
Precip Duration       0                         1            5
Precip Begin          6 PM                      2 AM         Continuing
Precip End            8 PM                      Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4880                      2580
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53680                     23220
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           7            9
Max LVORI late        9            4            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-130800-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            20           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            50
Temp (24H Trend)      63 (-3)      84 (+1)      65           82
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      63 (+1)      100          80
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         S  5         Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.20
Precip Duration       0                         0            4
Precip Begin          6 PM                      2 AM         Continuing
Precip End            8 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4480                      2810
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 12                      SW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  44800                     22480
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           9            9
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-130800-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
246 PM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            20           70
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0            50
Temp (24H Trend)      64 (-2)      83 (0)       66           83
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      67 (+3)      100          80
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip Duration       0                         0            4
Precip Begin          6 PM                      2 AM         Continuing
Precip End            8 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4170                      3010
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  37530                     21070
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           9            10
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           7

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs around 80. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$