


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
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007 FXUS61 KALY 031830 AFDALY AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 230 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will remain in place across the region through at least the middle of next week, providing mainly dry conditions along with generally comfortable humidity levels. A weak cold front may bring a stray shower or thunderstorm Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon to some higher elevations. Temperatures will warm to above normal levels through midweek. && .DISCUSSION... As of 205 PM EDT, skies are mainly clear but hazy, especially areas north of I-90 as smoke layer increases from the north/west. Temps should reach the mid 80s for most valley areas. Mainly clear skies tonight and sunny for Monday, although haze/smoke will linger, especially areas north of I-90. Low temps tonight mainly in the 50s, with a few 40s possible across the SW Adirondacks. As a weak front approaches from the north, can not completely rule out a stray shower across far northern Herkimer/Hamilton Counties toward sunset. It will be very warm but not too humid with dewpoints mainly in the upper 50s to lower 60s resulting in heat indices remaining below 90. Clear/partly cloudy Monday night with milder temps mainly in the mid 50s to lower/mid 60s. Aforementioned front will be located across the region Tuesday, as a weak jet max translates northeast into northern New England, positioning our region within the right entrance region. Given the combination of weak low level convergence and some upper level dynamics, isolated afternoon/early evening showers/thunderstorms may develop across higher terrain areas across the southern Adirondacks and western New England. Although limited in areal coverage, a few heavy downpours could occur given slow motion. Otherwise warm and moderately humid with high temps in the mid/upper 80s in valleys, and upper 70s/lower 80s across higher terrain. Frontal boundary washes out across or just south of the region Wednesday-Thursday before lifting back northward. A slight uptick in cloud cover along with a developing light east/southeast flow may allow for slightly cooler temps, with highs mainly in the lower/mid 80s in valley areas and 70s across higher terrain. Isolated showers/thunderstorms will be possible, especially across higher terrain areas. High pressure looks to become reinforced across or just east of the region for Friday into next weekend. Building upper level heights should promote warmer and increasingly humid conditions, with high temps possibly approaching 90 in some valleys by Sunday. Will have to watch for some tropical moisture advancing northward along the eastern seaboard; at this time, most of this moisture may remain blocked by high pressure but could approach southern areas by late Sunday. && .AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Smoke/haze will increase from the north and west this afternoon, and may lead to some Vsbys lowering to MVFR levels tonight at KGFL and KPSF, with generally VFR (6-10 SM) elsewhere. There could also be some brief IFR Vsbys at KGFL/KPSF with patchy fog between roughly 08Z-11Z. Smoke/haze may decrease slightly from the south and east later Monday morning, with mainly VFR conditions expected. Light/variable winds are expected this afternoon, trending into the south to southwest at 4-8 KT at KGFL and KALB. Winds become light/variable tonight, then trend into the west to northwest by late Monday morning at 5-10 KT. Outlook... Monday Night-Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA...TSRA. Thursday Night-Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ032-033- 038-042. MA...None. VT...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for VTZ013>015. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Gant/KL DISCUSSION...KL AVIATION...KL