Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FXUS61 KALY 031830
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
230 PM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain in place across the region through at
least the middle of next week, providing mainly dry conditions
along with generally comfortable humidity levels. A weak cold
front may bring a stray shower or thunderstorm Tuesday and
Wednesday afternoon to some higher elevations. Temperatures
will warm to above normal levels through midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 205 PM EDT, skies are mainly clear but hazy, especially
areas north of I-90 as smoke layer increases from the
north/west. Temps should reach the mid 80s for most valley
areas.

Mainly clear skies tonight and sunny for Monday, although
haze/smoke will linger, especially areas north of I-90. Low
temps tonight mainly in the 50s, with a few 40s possible across
the SW Adirondacks. As a weak front approaches from the north,
can not completely rule out a stray shower across far northern
Herkimer/Hamilton Counties toward sunset. It will be very warm
but not too humid with dewpoints mainly in the upper 50s to
lower 60s resulting in heat indices remaining below 90.
Clear/partly cloudy Monday night with milder temps mainly in the
mid 50s to lower/mid 60s.

Aforementioned front will be located across the region Tuesday,
as a weak jet max translates northeast into northern New
England, positioning our region within the right entrance
region. Given the combination of weak low level convergence and
some upper level dynamics, isolated afternoon/early evening
showers/thunderstorms may develop across higher terrain areas
across the southern Adirondacks and western New England.
Although limited in areal coverage, a few heavy downpours could
occur given slow motion. Otherwise warm and moderately humid
with high temps in the mid/upper 80s in valleys, and upper
70s/lower 80s across higher terrain.

Frontal boundary washes out across or just south of the region
Wednesday-Thursday before lifting back northward. A slight
uptick in cloud cover along with a developing light
east/southeast flow may allow for slightly cooler temps, with
highs mainly in the lower/mid 80s in valley areas and 70s across
higher terrain. Isolated showers/thunderstorms will be possible,
especially across higher terrain areas.

High pressure looks to become reinforced across or just east of
the region for Friday into next weekend. Building upper level
heights should promote warmer and increasingly humid conditions,
with high temps possibly approaching 90 in some valleys by
Sunday. Will have to watch for some tropical moisture advancing
northward along the eastern seaboard; at this time, most of this
moisture may remain blocked by high pressure but could approach
southern areas by late Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Smoke/haze will increase from the north and west this afternoon,
and may lead to some Vsbys lowering to MVFR levels tonight at
KGFL and KPSF, with generally VFR (6-10 SM) elsewhere. There
could also be some brief IFR Vsbys at KGFL/KPSF with patchy fog
between roughly 08Z-11Z. Smoke/haze may decrease slightly from
the south and east later Monday morning, with mainly VFR
conditions expected.

Light/variable winds are expected this afternoon, trending into
the south to southwest at 4-8 KT at KGFL and KALB. Winds become
light/variable tonight, then trend into the west to northwest by
late Monday morning at 5-10 KT.

Outlook...

Monday Night-Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Thursday Night-Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ032-033-
     038-042.
MA...None.
VT...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for VTZ013>015.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Gant/KL
DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...KL