129
FXUS61 KALY 040518
AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
118 AM EDT Fri Jul 4 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will taper off early this
evening in the wake of a cold frontal passage. High pressure
will bring dry conditions for Friday through Sunday, with
increasing heat and humidity by Sunday into early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
.UPDATE...As of 730 PM EDT, severe weather has ended across the
region. Any remaining showers and rumbles of thunder will remain
below severe limits early this evening and gradually diminish.
High pressure builds into the region overnight with clearing
skies and less humid conditions. Some patchy fog will likely
form in areas that saw rainfall this afternoon. Low temperatures
will fall back into the 50s with some upper 40s across the
Adirondacks and southern Greens.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Dry weather is expected Friday through Saturday night along
with mostly sunny/clear skies. Temperatures will be a bit below
normal Friday into Friday night, with highs in the 70s to lower
80s, and lows Friday night dropping into the 40s to lower/mid
50s. Low PWAT`s, clear skies and light/calm winds should allow
temps to drop off rapidly after sunset, so expect somewhat
chilly temps across the southern Adirondacks Friday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
By Sunday, hotter and more humid conditions develop, with high
temps reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s. As dewpoints climb
well into the 60s, heat indices could reach the mid 90s across
portions of the Mohawk and upper Hudson River Valleys. Similar
heat indices are possible Monday. Some heat advisories may need
to be issued should confidence in these heat indices increase.

Will have to watch for some potential ridge rolling disturbances
beginning late Sunday and continuing through Monday. Best
chances would be across northern areas, however there remains
low confidence at this time to include anything more than some
slight chance/low chance PoPs.

A frontal system looks to bring better chances for
showers/thunderstorms late Monday into Tuesday. The front may
stall near or just south/east of the region thereafter, bringing
scattered showers/thunderstorms to portions of the area through
late week. It looks to remain warm and humid much of next week,
with highs mainly in the 80s and overnight lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z/Sat...VFR conditions are mainly expected the next
24 hours for KGFL/KALB/KPSF/KPOU, except for some radiational
mist/fog that may briefly form at KGFL/KPOU due to clear skies,
calm winds and recently wet ground. We used TEMPO groups from
06Z-10Z/FRI to account for the IFR/LIFR mist fog. The mist/fog
should burn off quickly after 10Z/FRI with mostly clear skies
aside for a FEW- SCT cumulus in the 5-6 kft AGL range developing
in the afternoon. The winds will be light to calm prior to
sunrise, and then will increase from the N/NW at 8-13 KT with
some gusts around 20 KT in the late morning thru the afternoon.
The winds will decrease by 23Z/FRI from northwest at 7 KT or
less.

Outlook...

Friday Night to Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday to Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of
SHRA...TSRA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...KL
NEAR TERM...KL/Rathbun
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...Wasula