


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
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734 FXUS61 KALY 241927 AFDALY AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 327 PM EDT Sat May 24 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Cool, cloudy, and periods of light rain continues through tomorrow. Memorial day is still on track to be partly to mostly cloudy with seasonal temperatures returning for a pleasant day in store. Dry and warmer conditions continue into Tuesday with increasing chances for rain showers returning for midweek. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... A mix of sun and clouds continue across eastern New York and western New England this afternoon. Pop up light rain showers continue to move from a northwest to southeast direction today. These showers are wrapping around our upper level low that`s overhead for this weekend bringing these chances for light precipitation amounts (between a trace and a tenth of an inch) and cloudy conditions. Latest surface observations are showing temperatures ranging in the 50s and even a few spots in the low 60s as of this afternoon. We continue to see lingering light rain showers tonight with patchy fog in southern Vermont and the southern Adirondacks as we are in an unsettled weather pattern. Temperatures overnight should range in the 40s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... The upper level low continues to move north and east tomorrow and Monday bringing breezy conditions and scattered rain showers (30- 40%) through early Monday afternoon when chances for precipitation lower to less than 20 percent. Light precipitation amounts are expected between a trace to a tenth of an inch with showers. Otherwise, cloudy and calmer (winds less than 10 mph) conditions are in store for Monday. Surface high pressure begins to build in for Monday night to our west helping diminish shower activity for the evening hours bringing dry conditions for the overnight hours. The good news is that temperatures are finally warming up with highs tomorrow in the 60s and for Monday in the 70s, except for higher terrain locations which should range in the 50s and 60s. Low temperatures range in the 40s. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Dry conditions for eastern New York and western New England Tuesday through Wednesday morning as surface high pressure briefly returns giving us a small break in the precipitation chances during this timeframe. Late Wednesday afternoon into the overnight hours is when chances (15 to 30 percent) for precipitation returns. Daily precipitation chances (50%) continue through the end of next week as our upper level atmosphere pattern returns unsettled and dreary end to the month of May. However, surface temperatures are favored by latest ensemble forecast model guidances to remain seasonal with highs ranging in the 60s and 70s. Low temperatures also remain seasonal in the 50s with higher terrain locations in the 40s. && .AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Through 18z/Sun...An upper level low will continue to slowly shift eastward through Sunday. Moist, cyclonic flow across the region will maintain low VFR cigs at KALB/KGFL/KPOU and MVFR cigs at KPSF through 18z/Sun along with diurnally driven rain showers. Any additional reductions to cigs and vsbys within showers should be brief. West to west-northwesterly wind through tonight will become north to northwesterly on Sunday. Outlook... Sunday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Memorial Day: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA. Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Gant/Webb NEAR TERM...Webb SHORT TERM...Webb LONG TERM...Webb AVIATION...Rathbun