004
FNUS71 KAKQ 041100
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Nassawango-BearSwampU27...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
700 AM EDT Wed Jun 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure slides farther offshore today. Sunny and continued
warm. Remaining relatively dry and well mixed with minimum RH
values of 35-40%. A southwest wind of 5 to 10 mph is expected to
develop later this morning and gradually become south around 10
mph during the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph
                    late this morning and then becoming south
                    around 10 mph this afternoon.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (17365 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (43470 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................22 to 54.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  75  78  80  82  82  83  81  81
RH..............64  58  50  45  41  43  40  39  41
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.6   8   11  12  13  14  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.15  13  12  10  10  10  13  14  15
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............22  32  36  37  40  45  49  54  54
Vrate mph-ft/1K.17  24  28  30  32  36  40  43  42
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (27829 mph-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2415 mph-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   12  15  20  25  30  38  46  53  59  64  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............79  76  72  70  68  67  66  65  66  65  65  65
RH..............45  52  61  68  76  78  81  87  84  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  11  11  11  11  9   9   8   7   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.............36  8   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.27  13  3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 13 mph shifting to the south 16
                    to 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3219 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40825 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 49 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  73  75  73  70  68  71  73  76  77  79  80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  65  69  71  75  78  79  79  80  79  78  77
RH..............93  93  84  79  69  62  60  60  58  60  60  62
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   4   5   5   6   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   8   11  13  14  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   7   6   5   6   7   9   13  16  18
LVORI...........6   6   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.............3   8   8   10  12  13  16  23  29  38  46  49
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   4   4   7   9   10  12  18  26  33  39  40
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...ZIMMERMAN
Requested by...Gabriel Cahalan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515322.0/AKQ
.DELDT 06/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gcahalan@tnc.org