591
FNUS71 KAKQ 041342
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for PED Understory...VA Department of Forestry
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
842 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and mostly sunny skies today with winds shifting from the west to
the north this afternoon. Wind speeds will increase to 10-15 mph
with gusts up to 20-25 mph. Min RH will be between 40-45% with
mixing heights above 4,000 ft AGL.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    7 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 15
                    to 21 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (77500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 early in the morning increasing to 80 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  22  24  26  28  23  19  14  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............59  62  64  66  68  67  66  65  61
RH..............60  56  54  50  45  45  43  43  46
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   10  11  10  9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  14  14  16  19  16  14  14  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.13  15  17  20  21  20  16  15  15
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............25  38  54  70  80  72  60  51  46
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17  27  43  61  78  68  55  45  32
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 16 mph shifting to the east 10
                    to 12 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 7.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  17  19  22  24  29  33  38  39  39  40  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  52  49  47  44  42  40  38  37  36  35  33
RH..............49  52  54  51  53  53  55  54  56  56  59  63
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.12  11  8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  15  15  15  14  14  13  12  10  10
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI.............7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..20  7   11  15  19  16  13  10  8   6   5   6
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (14500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 to 16.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........59     77     92     93     94     93
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     40     40
Temp............33     35     36     37     37     37
RH..............61     56     56     56     59     61
20 ft wind......NE 4   NE 3   E 4    E 4    E 4    E 5
20 ft wind gust.6      5      6      6      6      8
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1300   1800   2000   2000   1800
Transport wind..E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 8    E 8
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      2
ADI.............11     14     15     15     15     15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7      10     13     14     14     13
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...CHILCOTE
Requested by...Chris McClelland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502218.0/AKQ
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.mcclelland@dof.virginia.gov