508
FNUS71 KAKQ 140150
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Sailors Creek Battlefield RX burn...VA DCR
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
850 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected Friday, with RH values dropping as
low as 25-35% in the afternoon. Winds will be from the southwest
to west between 5 to 10 mph, with gusts nearing 10 mph in the
afternoon. Mostly clear skies and rain-free conditions will
prevail Friday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3564 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (19780 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 25.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   6   15  21  23  27  17  9   14  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  45  51  55  59  61  61  63  61  59
RH..............70  53  46  38  32  29  29  29  32  36
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   6   6   8   8   8   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.9 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.5   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   8
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............5   10  16  20  22  25  22  20  17  12
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   7   12  15  17  19  17  15  12  9
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (804 mph-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  36  40  42  44  42  40  38  37  36  35  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  51  51  51  51  51  50  49  48  46  45  44
RH..............40  50  52  52  50  50  54  56  58  65  68  73
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.............3   3   3   3   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   0   0
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 9 mph increasing to 13 to 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (690 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (23115 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 25.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  34  34  35  35  40  45  50  54  59  63  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  45  49  55  60  64  67  69  71  71  71  69
RH..............73  76  74  66  62  58  56  55  51  51  51  55
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.3   3   7   7   8   9   12  12  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.9 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   5   5   6   7   9   13  14  13
LVORI...........3   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............2   2   3   5   8   12  17  25  20  23  22  18
Vrate mph-ft/1K.0   0   1   3   6   9   13  19  22  23  19  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...BARNHARDT
Requested by...Kerry ONeill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525904.0/AKQ
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kerry.oneill@dcr.virginia.gov