104
FNUS71 KAKQ 301239
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Occoneechee State Park...VA DCR - STATE PARKS
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
739 AM EST Thu Jan 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on January 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather continues today with min RHs of 25-30% this afternoon.
FEW-SCT high level cloud cover through most of the day, then
thickening cloud cover expected starting during the late afternoon.
Little to no wind this morning, becoming a light S wind during the
early afternoon. Low-end chances for rain showers starting late this
evening through tomorrow afternoon, then rain is likely early Fri
evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south 6 to 9
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (25000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................10 to 35.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  11  8   8   11  22  34  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  50  53  55  56  58  57  55
RH..............37  34  29  27  26  27  27  31
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   4   5   5   6   5
20 FT wind gust.2   3   5   6   8   8   11  8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 3.5 2.9 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   1   1   2
ADI.............13  18  20  23  29  35  33  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   12  14  16  20  25  23  5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 1 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 6.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82  95  94  96  97  99  99  100 100 99  98  97
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............53  51  51  50  50  48  46  46  45  45  45  45
RH..............36  41  41  42  42  47  53  55  62  65  70  76
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   8   6   3   2   1   1   2   3   5   6   6
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.............6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers, then rain likely late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph increasing to southwest 17 to
                    26 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........95     99     96     99     99     97
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     40     40     30     30
Temp............45     47     55     60     63     63
RH..............86     93     83     72     70     72
20 ft wind......S 4    S 7    S 10   SW 11  SW 11  SW 11
20 ft wind gust.6      12     18     22     23     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    1400   2300   3000   2300
Transport wind..S 6    S 7    SW 13  SW 23  SW 26  SW 21
LVORI...........4      6      4      3      1      3
ADI.............6      5      20     49     83     55
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      3      15     47     68     40
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   FAIR

$$
Forecaster...MITCHELL
Requested by...RS
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501837.0/AKQ
.DELDT 01/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL reed.stanley@dcr.virginia.gov